Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NY-07 House election: Claire Valdez vote percent
The odds
80.73%median
74%86%
Median 80.73%
How the odds have moved
Median: 76.61% on Oct 20, 80.73% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 76% | 74% | $1.35 | 715 | |||
| At least 78% | 74% | $1.35 | 4.6K | |||
| At least 80% | 74% | $1.35 | 91.00 | |||
| At least 82% | 8% | $13.33 | 10.00 | |||
| At least 84% | 8% | $13.33 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Claire Valdez
Search ›- Mamdani-backed democratic socialist candidates Darializa Avila Chevalier, Claire Valdez win in New York, CBS News projectsNovember 3, 2026 / 9:42 PM EST / CBS New York Tuesday was a big day for Democratic Socialists of America Congressional candidates backed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Darializa Avila Chevalier won in New York's 13th District…
- Claire Valdez Will Be Your Artist in CongressThe artist, former cultural worker, and union organizer won a seat in the US House of Representatives by nearly 70 percentage points. Among the historic wave of triumphs for Democrats in yesterday's midterms, New York State Assemblywoman…
- GOP Rep. Mike Lawler concedes to Cait Conley in hotly-contested NY House raceDemocrat Cait Conley won the hotly contested race for New York’s 17th Congressional District — knocking out incumbent Rep. Mike Lawler in a critical blow for Republicans. Conley, 41, took the race Tuesday by 7 points, winning 53.3% of the…
- Key NY House race thrown into chaos over bizarre issue with voting ballot ‘thickness’A highly contentious New York State race under watch by the entire nation has been plunged into chaos over voting ballot “thickness” — an issue that could mean the winner won’t be known for days. Ballot machines were rejecting the paper…
- Democratic Socialists on the Rise: Darializa Avila Chevalier & Claire Valdez Set to Win House SeatsNew York City is preparing to send two DSA members, presumptive election night winners Darializa Avila Chevalier and Claire Valdez, to Capitol Hill. DSA-backed candidates made historic gains in this yearâs Democratic primaries, with at…
- RAW: NY: HOUSE WINNER / CAIT CONLEYLocal 3 News Showers in the Vicinity Light Rain with Thunder Gusty winds, heavy rain, and isolated severe storms are possible today Democrat Cait Conley defeats Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in New York's 17th district race Man in hospital…
- Democrat Claire Valdez wins election to U.S. House in New York’s 7th Congressional DistrictWASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Claire Valdez wins election to U.S. House in New York's 7th Congressional District.
- Claire Valdez to Chris Rabb: Democratic Socialists likely on their way to CongressAlso read: US midterm election early voting turnout on track to eclipse last time's numbers Most of these candidates come from a few Democratic strongholds, and several toppled seasoned incumbents in hard-fought primary campaigns. They are…
- Tonko, Riley win reelection in NY House racesCAPITAL REGION, N.Y. — A pair of congressmen are headed back to Congress, with U.S. Representative Paul Tonko (D-20) and U.S. Representative Josh Riley (D-19) winning their districts, respectively. Tonko took on Republican challenger Ralph…
- Alaska and Mississippi Senate races still too close to call, along with some NY House racesWASHINGTON — The midterm elections are over, but two Senate races and nearly 50 House races are still too close to call on Thursday morning. Democrats have flipped both the House and the Senate based on the races that have already been…
- Did Mike Lawler Win Tonight? Rockland County Election Results -Lawler Concedes in NY House Swing District to Democratic Newcomer Cait Conley Amid Westchester Balloting ComplicationsNEW YORK — Republican Representative Mike Lawler has conceded defeat in New York’s high-stakes 17th Congressional District, acknowledging that Democratic challenger Cait Conley has captured the crucial Hudson Valley swing seat. Despite…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions