Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NY-08 House election: Hakeem Jeffries vote percent
The odds
77.21%median
68%86%
Median 77.21%Middle half 74.73% – 79.96%
How the odds have moved
Median: 76.25% on Oct 20, 77.21% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 1.00 | ||
| At least 72% | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 1.00 | ||
| At least 74% | 83% | $1.20 | 385 | |||
| At least 76% | 61% | 96¢ | $1.04 | 2.2K | ||
| At least 82% | 7% | $15.38 | 20.00 | |||
| At least 84% | 7% | $15.38 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Hakeem Jeffries
Search ›- Petition to Replace Hakeem Jeffries as Democrats’ House Speaker Hits 500k SignaturesNov 05, 2026 at 10:39 AM EST Nov 05, 2026 at 12:17 PM EST A petition calling on House Democrats not to support House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries as the next Speaker has hit 500,000 signatures, according to its creator. It follows the…
- 'He's got to go': Hakeem Jeffries calls for Hegseth's removal but stops short of impeachmentHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, the New York Democrat who is poised to become the next Speaker of the House, says his party will push to end the war in Iran and hold Trump administration officials accountable after its midterm…
- Hakeem Jeffries calls Democrats' massive win a 'victory for the American people'Hakeem Jeffries calls Democrats’ massive win a ‘victory for the American people’ CNN Hakeem Jeffries calls Democrats’ massive win a ‘victory for the American people’ House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries hails Tuesday night's big win for…
- Dana Perino: I don't think Hakeem Jeffries will be able to save themFox News Dana Perino: I don't think Hakeem Jeffries will be able to save them 'The Five' co-hosts discuss DSA candidates winning House races and debate the far-left's rising legislative influence. Democratic Socialists of America…
- Hakeem Jeffries takes victory lap after Democratic midterm winsFox News Hakeem Jeffries takes victory lap after Democratic midterm wins House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries addresses reporters from Capitol Hill following Democratic victories in the midterm elections. House minority leader Hakeem…
- Progressives fume at Hakeem Jeffries for saying Democrats won't 'get even' with TrumpHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries told MS NOW’s ‘Morning Joe’ that Democrats should focus on lowering costs after their midterm victories, saying Americans want results rather than retribution. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries…
- Hakeem Jeffries declares bid for House speaker after GOP's midterm massacreHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries told MS NOW’s "Morning Joe" that Democrats should focus on lowering costs after their midterm victories, saying Americans want results rather than retribution. Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y…
- Hakeem Jeffries speaks after Democrats claim a majority in House and SenateNBC News Sen. Schumer: ‘We have seen a generational remake of the Senate map’ Hakeem Jeffries speaks after Democrats claim a majority in House and Senate Full Special Report: Hakeem Jeffries says Democrats will deliver change after midterm…
- House Dem who defied Hakeem Jeffries scores upset win in pro-Trump district'The Big Money Show' panel analyzes President Donald Trump's economic messaging on the campaign trail and reviews the latest Fox News polls in the Ohio and Texas Senate races ahead of the midterm elections, where cost of living remains a…
- Hakeem Jeffries on path to become first Black Speaker of the HouseCNN Hakeem Jeffries on path to become first Black Speaker of the House Democrats will win control of the House, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, a major victory for the party, which will now have the power to pursue a sweeping oversight…
- Katherine Clark of Massachusetts will be first woman to serve as House majority leader, Hakeem Jeffries saysNovember 4, 2026 / 1:59 PM EST / CBS Boston Massachusetts Congresswoman Katherine Clark is set to make history as the first woman to become a majority leader in Congress, the leader of the House Democrats said Wednesday. Rep. Hakeem…
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46.75%median
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions