Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NY-21 House election: Anthony Constantino vote percent
The odds
51.52%median
48%58%
Median 51.52%Middle half 50.73% – 52.87%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52% on Oct 19, 51.52% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 98% | 5¢ | $1.02 | 768 | ||
| At least 52% | 35% | 90¢ | $1.11 | 659 | ||
| At least 54% | 12% | 33¢ | $3.03 | 565 | ||
| At least 56% | 12% | $8.33 | 107 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Anthony Constantino
Search ›- Anthony Constantino rages against GOP after declaring win in race not called yetNew York Post Republican Anthony Constantino, who declared victory late Tuesday in the race to succeed Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY), went off on state GOP on social media early Wednesday. “NY-21 Republican Chairs are objectively a group of…
- A Mamdani Diss Track, a Profanity-Laced Speech, and a Seat in Congress: Meet Anthony ConstantinoNew York’s 21st District is sending quite a character to Congress. Republican Anthony Constantino defeated Democrat Blake Gendebien to succeed Rep. Elise Stefanik, who did not seek reelection, and he is hardly your ordinary Republican. A…
- Anthony Constantino interview with Garrett Domblewski on Election DayAnthony Constantino’s full interview with 7 News reporter Garrett Domblewski on Election Day. WATERTOWN, New York (WWNY) - Anthony Constantino’s full interview with 7 News reporter Garrett Domblewski on Election Day. NY-21: Gendebien: ‘I…
- GENDEBIEN: “I wish Anthony Constantino well in Congress”ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY- The race for NY-21 in 2026 was tight as it has ever been recently. As of this published report, there is still no official winner yet decided, though Republican candidate Anthony Constantino has declared a victory. The…
- WWNY shows Anthony Constantino interview after reporter was ejected from watch partyAMSTERDAM, N.Y. — WWNY released an interview with NY-21 Congressional Candidate Anthony Constantino before he ejected one of its reporters from his watch party hours later. In its report, WWNY said "many people" wanted to see its interview…
- NY-21: Gendebien: ‘I wish Anthony Constantino well in Congress’WWNY NY-21: Gendebien: ‘I wish Anthony Constantino well in Congress’ In obscenity-laced speech, Constantino orders 7 News crew to leave election-night party Voters cite economy as top concern on Election Day Gendebien votes in Lisbon…
- Anthony Constantino Calls On Trump To Free Diddy After Congressional WinAnthony Constantino used his NY-21 victory speech to urge Donald Trump to free Diddy while defending his ties to Hip-Hop. Nolan Strong • Nov 4, 2026 @ 8:30 PM Anthony Constantino turned his congressional victory speech into an unexpected…
- Churchill: Anthony Constantino was a sore (and unhinged) winnerRepublican Anthony Constantino declared victory in New York's 21st Congressional District and unleashed torrents of invective against the media and his former opponents. AMSTERDAM — On a night when Republicans were blistered and repudiated…
- GOP Rep. Mike Lawler concedes to Cait Conley in hotly-contested NY House raceDemocrat Cait Conley won the hotly contested race for New York’s 17th Congressional District — knocking out incumbent Rep. Mike Lawler in a critical blow for Republicans. Conley, 41, took the race Tuesday by 7 points, winning 53.3% of the…
- JD Vance rallies GOP House candidate Anthony Constantino in final stretch of campaignROME, NEW YORK – Vice President JD Vance called on local Republicans to get out and vote to keep a reliably red upstate House district in GOP control during a fiery rally Monday. Vance had flown into the former Griffiss Air Force Base in…
- Foul-mouthed mini-Trump Republican Anthony Constantino begs president to free Diddy in unhinged tirade where he threw out a journalistA Republican on the brink of winning a New York House seat used his victory speech to urge Donald Trump to free Sean 'Diddy' Combs. Anthony Constantino, 44, has declared victory in a contest he currently leads, with over 95 percent of the…
- Key NY House race thrown into chaos over bizarre issue with voting ballot ‘thickness’A highly contentious New York State race under watch by the entire nation has been plunged into chaos over voting ballot “thickness” — an issue that could mean the winner won’t be known for days. Ballot machines were rejecting the paper…
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14.41%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions