Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percent
The odds
48.93%median
32%54%
Median 48.93%Middle half 48.37% – 49.48%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.6% on Oct 20, 48.93% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 98% | 75¢ | $1.02 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 36% | 96% | 75¢ | $1.05 | 407 | ||
| At least 38% | 96% | 60¢ | $1.05 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 40% | 92% | $1.09 | 3.3K | |||
| At least 42% | 92% | 87¢ | $1.09 | 3.9K | ||
| At least 44% | 92% | 5¢ | $1.09 | 750 | ||
| At least 46% | 92% | $1.09 | 467 | |||
| At least 48% | 92% | 2¢ | $1.09 | 969 | ||
| At least 50% | 2% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.2K | ||
| At least 52% | 2% | 15¢ | $6.67 | 291 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Blake Gendebien
Search ›- Vice President JD Vance plans upstate NY trip to aid GOP candidate hoping to fill Rep. Elise Stefanik’s seatVice President JD Vance could swoop into upstate New York on the eve of the Nov. 3 election to help keep retiring Rep. Elise Stefanik’s seat in Republican hands, sources said Tuesday. Vance would stump with GOP candidate Anthony…
- Gendebien campaigns in AkwesasneAKWESASNEâ The Democratic candidate running to represent New Yorkâs 21st Congressional District in the upcoming midterm elections, Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer from Lisbon, was at the Akwesasne Cultural Center off State Route 37 on…
- Fulton County election race previews 2026, down to the townsFulton County sign on Route 30 North. Fulton County’s attention has focused on the 21st Congressional District race, where the Republican primary set native Robert Smullen of Johnstown against Anthony Constantino of Saratoga County, owner…
- ‘Uniquely the worst Republican opponent’: MAGA candidate could blow Stefanik’s safe seatA House seat in upstate New York held by outgoing Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY) since 2015 is in danger of flipping to Democrats in next week’s election, and the New York Times reports the Republican nominee’s devotion to Donald Trump may be…
- MAGA House candidate’s campaign paid $56K to cage-fighting firm he now owns: reportTrump-backed House candidate Anthony Constantino’s campaign paid nearly $56,000 to a cage-fighting promotion a week after his spokesman confirmed Constantino was in talks to buy into it, and he now owns the company outright, PunchUp…
- 'People are struggling': Democrats compete in GOP-heavy House seatsBlake Gendebien has tried to convince Democrats he can win New York's 21st Congressional District for nearly two years. "We just kept running," Gendebien told USA TODAY. "We've been crisscrossing the district for almost two years now."…
- Constantino controversy clouds Republicans' chances in NY-21Republican congressional candidate Anthony Constantino debated a chicken as he mocked his Democratic opponent, Blake Gendebien, at a rally in Amsterdam. (Jim Franco/Times Union) Republican Anthony Constantino says he is running for…
- “It’s giving winner vibes”: Trump’s latest attempt to mock Democrats backfired immediately“Lmao Trump made them look like the bosses they are.” The White House tried to make Democrats look bad with an AI-generated video just a week before Election Day, but social media users are saying that the clip just makes Democrats look…
- Trump-Backed MAGA Rapper’s Cage Fighting Money Trail ExposedAnthony Constantino’s campaign paid nearly $56,000 to a fight promotion he was negotiating to buy. One of Donald Trump’s handpicked congressional candidates paid tens of thousands of dollars in campaign funds to an MMA promoter while…
- NY House candidate Brad Lander briefly detained by Israeli military in West BankWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Hilarious! Anthony Constantino Debates His Democrat Opponent in NY 21 and a Chicken Shows Up! (VIDEO)Anthony Constantino, the CEO of Sticker Mule, won his primary race in June against the Republican Party-endorsed candidate, Assemblymember Robert Smullen. Constantino won the primary race earning almost 60 percent of the vote in his…
- Over Easy: A prolonged scary seasonOctober is National Scary Month, now that Halloween has morphed into something much longer. Ogres, grim reapers and ghouls gather on neighborhood lawns. Mechanized horribles are for sale at Home Depot. A 12-foot-tall skeleton with piercing…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions