Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NY-24 House election: Claudia Tenney vote percent
The odds
59.17%median
50%68%
Median 59.17%Middle half 57.25% – 61.08%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.05% on Oct 20, 59.17% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 91% | 2¢ | $1.09 | 18.00 | ||
| At least 54% | 91% | 3¢ | $1.09 | 10.00 | ||
| At least 56% | 91% | 3¢ | $1.09 | 2.6K | ||
| At least 62% | 13% | $7.69 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Claudia Tenney
Search ›- Interview: Republican Claudia Tenney on re-election campaignWUHF Our series of interviews with candidates running for office in Western New York continues The Fox Rochester morning team spoke to Republican incumbent Claudia Tenney, who is seeking re-election She faces a challenge against Democrat…
- Palm card: The Post’s 2026 endorsementsTuesday is Election Day, with polls open from 6 a.m. to 9 p.m statewide. Here’s a reminder of The Post’s endorsements: 11th CD (Staten Island, Bay Ridge): Nicole Maliotakis 12th CD (Manhattan East-West Sides): Caroline Shinkle 17th CD…
- Decision 2026: Race for U.S. House 24th DistrictRep. Claudia Tenney (R) currently serves the 24th District in NY, and is hoping to keep that seat against challenger Alissa Ellman (D). Decision 2026: Race for U.S. House 24th District Rep. Claudia Tenney (R) currently serves the 24th…
- Congressional races to watch as polls open on Election DayVoters are heading to the polls across our area this morning to cast their ballots in the midterm elections. There are several congressional races that impact the region. In the 25th Congressional District, which covers all of Monroe…
- Tenney, Ellman clash over Trump policies in 24th District debateLockport resident Alissa Ellman, a Democrat, continued her challenge of incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney for the 24th Congressional District earlier this month with a televised debate in Rochester. The 24th District includes the 14…
- Tenney leads by 8 points in poll commissioned by DemocratsOSWEGO â Republican Congresswoman Claudia Tenney leads her Democratic opponent, Alissa Ellman, by a margin of 46% to 38% among likely voters in New Yorkâs 24th Congressional District, according to a poll released this week. Democrat…
- Donald Trump's 'SWAMP' Message to Republicans Tops His Rapid-Fire Truth Social Push Before the MidtermsDonald Trump posted about 20 messages on Truth Social in roughly 10 minutes on Saturday, 31 October, urging Republicans to 'SWAMP the Radical Left Dumocrats with massive turnout' three days before the 3 November midterm elections. The…
- Vote for prosperity & security: The Post’s endorsements for NY’s House racesNew York state’s Republican House incumbents deserve to retain their seats, and The Post strongly endorses their re-election. We have already made the case for Rep. Mike Lawler in the swinging 17th Congressional District, where he faces a…
- Tenney asks James about gun charges and immigration-related plea dealsOctober 30, 2026 6:03 PM / Staff Report Rep. Claudia Tenney asked New York Attorney General Letitia James on Friday to explain whether her office has helped prosecutors change firearm charges or conviction records to limit immigration…
- Interview: Congressional Candidate Alissa EllmanOur series of interviews with candidates for office representing Western New York continue.This morning, we spoke with Democrat Alissa Ellman, who is challengin Our series of interviews with candidates for office representing Western New…
- Justice served: Fired by Musk, now they run for CongressWASHINGTON—When Elon Musk, Trump’s chainsaw wielder, fired them, they did not lie down in despair. They picked themselves up and ran for Congress, where they hope to battle the billionaires. Continuing what they call their commitment to…
- No ID, No Problem? Mamdani Ignites Fury with Polling Place Message [WATCH]It is illegal for noncitizens to vote in federal elections in the United States. That clear prohibition is colliding with a public service message from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani about voting in the November 3 election. Mamdani…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions