Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NY-25 House election: Virginia McIntyre vote percent
The odds
34.41%median
30%46%
Median 34.41%Middle half 32% – 37.82%
How the odds have moved
Median: 33.42% on Oct 20, 34.41% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 75% | $1.33 | 485 | |||
| At least 34% | 53% | $1.89 | 5.7K | |||
| At least 40% | 9% | $11.11 | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Virginia McIntyre
Search ›- GOP Rep. Mike Lawler concedes to Cait Conley in hotly-contested NY House raceDemocrat Cait Conley won the hotly contested race for New York’s 17th Congressional District — knocking out incumbent Rep. Mike Lawler in a critical blow for Republicans. Conley, 41, took the race Tuesday by 7 points, winning 53.3% of the…
- Key NY House race thrown into chaos over bizarre issue with voting ballot ‘thickness’A highly contentious New York State race under watch by the entire nation has been plunged into chaos over voting ballot “thickness” — an issue that could mean the winner won’t be known for days. Ballot machines were rejecting the paper…
- RAW: NY: HOUSE WINNER / CAIT CONLEYLocal 3 News Showers in the Vicinity Light Rain with Thunder Gusty winds, heavy rain, and isolated severe storms are possible today Democrat Cait Conley defeats Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in New York's 17th district race Man in hospital…
- Tonko, Constantino declare victory in NY House racesSARATOGA COUNTY, N.Y. –– Saratoga County residents have cast their ballots for who they want representing them in Congress. Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko won the race to represent the 20th Congressional District, beating Republican…
- Tonko, Riley win reelection in NY House racesCAPITAL REGION, N.Y. — A pair of congressmen are headed back to Congress, with U.S. Representative Paul Tonko (D-20) and U.S. Representative Josh Riley (D-19) winning their districts, respectively. Tonko took on Republican challenger Ralph…
- Alaska and Mississippi Senate races still too close to call, along with some NY House racesWASHINGTON — The midterm elections are over, but two Senate races and nearly 50 House races are still too close to call on Thursday morning. Democrats have flipped both the House and the Senate based on the races that have already been…
- Did Mike Lawler Win Tonight? Rockland County Election Results -Lawler Concedes in NY House Swing District to Democratic Newcomer Cait Conley Amid Westchester Balloting ComplicationsNEW YORK — Republican Representative Mike Lawler has conceded defeat in New York’s high-stakes 17th Congressional District, acknowledging that Democratic challenger Cait Conley has captured the crucial Hudson Valley swing seat. Despite…
- Voting machine snafu may delay results in NY House race between Lawler, ConleyPublished Nov 3, 2026 at 7:57 p.m. ET Malfunctioning voting machines in Westchester County could delay results in one of the country's most closely watched congressional races, which could decide whether Democrats take back the House of…
- NCAA MEN’S BASKETBALL: Gooden, veteran core lead Skidmore into new seasonSaratogian 2026 General Election results for races in Saratoga County Tedisco loses state Senate seat to Rogerson; results from other NYS Legislature races 2026 General Election results round-up of state and congressional races New York…
- Interview: Democratic Congressman Joe Morelle on re-election campaignMidterm elections are underway across the United States, with key races deciding the balance of power in Washington. Midterm Elections are only one day away. This morning on ARC Rochester, the morning team continues its series of candidate…
- Election results: Winners emerge in Rochester-area and New York state races13WHAM-TV Election results are coming in from races across the Rochester region and New York state, with several incumbents securing reelection ELECTION RESULTS: Local | New York State | National Statewide races Governor : Democratic…
- Morelle re-elected. Here's what could await in the next CongressU.S. Rep. Joe Morelle was elected to a fifth term Tuesday, and will return to an expected Democratic majority in Congress. "Now the hard work begins to restore trust for the American people that people in government are looking out for…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions