Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
NY-26 House election: Tim Kennedy vote percent
The odds
52%At least 68%
62%70%
How the odds have moved
At least 64%: 79% on Oct 20, 79% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 79% | $1.27 | 405 | |||
| At least 66% | 54% | 65¢ | $1.54 | 3.1K | ||
| At least 68% | 52% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 136 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Tim Kennedy
Search ›- Key NY House race thrown into chaos over bizarre issue with voting ballot ‘thickness’A highly contentious New York State race under watch by the entire nation has been plunged into chaos over voting ballot “thickness” — an issue that could mean the winner won’t be known for days. Ballot machines were rejecting the paper…
- Buffalo-area Republicans pick candidate for Higgins seat special electionWest Seneca Supervisor Gary Dickson will be the Republican candidate in an April special election to replace Brian Higgins in Congress. 02/21/2024 2:10 PM EST ALBANY, N.Y. — Western New York Republican officials have picked West Seneca…
- Governor Cuomo Signs Jackie's Law, Authored by Senator Kennedy and Assemblywoman Peoples-Stokes, to Crack Down on GPS Stalking and Domestic ViolenceALBANY, N.Y. (July 23, 2014) – Governor Andrew M. Cuomo today signed legislation, authored by Senator Tim Kennedy and Assemblywoman Crystal Peoples-Stokes, that strengthens state law to protect New Yorkers from domestic violence and GPS…
- Early voting shatters figures from last gubernatorial, midterm electionsALBANY – Close to 2 million New Yorkers cast their ballots in early voting this year, marking a nearly 67% increase over 2022, the last time the state held midterm congressional elections and a race for governor. John Gilmour questions…
- LIVE BLOG: What we are following as Western New Yorkers head to the pollsElection Day has arrived! Polls close across Western New York at 9 p.m. today and soon after we will start receiving results for a number of contested races. We will be tracking the top races on the minds of voters in Western New York…
- Live updates: Election Day 2026 in Western New YorkVoters across Western New York will head to the polls Tuesday to cast their votes in elections from governor to Buffalo city charter amendments. Western New York voters will hit the polls in November for the 2026 general election. Find all…
- Election Day: Where to go, when do polls open and all of our general election coverageElection Day for the 2026 general election officially kicks on Tuesday morning. Western New York voters will hit the polls in November for the 2026 general election. Find all of our coverage on local and statewide races, candidates, ballot…
- Map: Election Day polling stations for Erie and Niagara counties | 2026 general electionElection Day officially launches Tuesday for the 2026 general election. Western New York voters will hit the polls in November for the 2026 general election. Find all of our coverage on local and statewide races, candidates, ballot…
- DOJ Declares No FBI, ICE Agents Will Serve as Election Monitors — Congressman: “We Have No Trust in Their Word”Eric Neff, acting chief of the Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division Voting Section, said in a declaration on Wednesday: “There will be no Federal Bureau of Investigation or U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement employees, much…
- The elections are not over yet, but the clear winner is early votingErie County Republican Party Chairman Michael Kracker on the push to get voters to the polls at the Republican rally on Saturday, Oct, 24, 2026, the first day of early voting. ALBANY – New Yorkers appear to like early voting a lot more…
- Kennedy seeks second full term in race against lightly funded Republican challengerFor the second time in two years, Rep. Timothy M. Kennedy, a Buffalo Democrat, will square off against a relatively unknown Republican opponent in trying to retain his seat in Congress. Early voting launches Saturday in Erie and Niagara…
- Buffalo Medicaid Work Rules Spark ER Overload WarningsWestern New York union leaders and Erie County officials warn new Medicaid work requirements set for January 2027 could strain emergency rooms and cut coverage. Explore Our Cities & Metro Areas (A-Z) Buffalo Union Leaders Warn New Medicaid…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions