Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
OH-02 House election: Jennifer Mazzuckelli vote percent
The odds
68%At least 30%
26%32%
How the odds have moved
At least 28%: 81% on Oct 20, 81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 3, 9 PM ETAt least 28%: 76% → 81%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 81% | $1.23 | 254 | |||
| At least 30% | 68% | $1.47 | 2.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OH- House, Jennifer Mazzuckelli
Search ›- RAW: OH: HOUSE WINNER / REP MARCY KAPTURLocal 3 News Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur will win reelection to a 23rd term in Congress, CNNâs Decision Desk projects, once again fending off Republican Derek Merrinâs bid to flip Ohioâs 9th District. Man in hospital after firing…
- Ag Representation Contracts In Washington As Midterm Shift Hands Control Of Congress To Democrats - EDairy News EnglishThe political shift will trigger a complete reorganization of agricultural committee leadership. With Democrats taking control of both gavels: Senate Agriculture Committee: Leadership is expected to transition to either Sen. Michael Bennet…
- Sen. Husted (R-OH), Governor Candidate Ramaswamy (R-OH) & House Candidate Merrin (R-OH) Hold Campaign Coffee EventSen. Jon Husted (R-OH), Governor Candidate Vivek Ramaswamy (R-OH), Lt. Gov. candidate Rob McColley, and House candidate Derek Merrin spoke to voters in Ottawa, Ohio. They were joined by Tennessee U.S. Sen. Bill Hagerty (R) in Putnam…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions