Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
OK-05 House election: Jena Nelson vote percent
The odds
49.24%median
36%54%
Median 49.24%
How the odds have moved
Median: 43.29% on Oct 20, 49.24% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 95% | 2¢ | $1.05 | 200 | ||
| At least 40% | 93% | 2¢ | $1.08 | 2.9K | ||
| At least 42% | 89% | 2¢ | $1.12 | 60.00 | ||
| At least 44% | 89% | $1.12 | 872 | |||
| At least 46% | 89% | $1.12 | 314 | |||
| At least 48% | 89% | $1.12 | 15.00 | |||
| At least 50% | 26% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.6K | ||
| At least 52% | 26% | ▲ 49 | $3.85 | 1.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OK- House, Jena Nelson
Search ›- Incumbent Stephanie Bice wins US House seat, defeats Jena NelsonStephanie Bice won the U.S. House race over Jena Nelson, according to unofficial results from the Oklahoma State Election Board. As of 10:47 p.m., with 100% of votes counted, Bice earned 49.49%, or 130,972 votes. Nelson earned 48.22%, or…
- Midterm Election Results: Democrat Jena Nelson challenges Rep. Stephanie Bice for House District 5It's Midterm Election Day in Oklahoma, and people statewide will cast their votes on who will represent them on Capitol Hill. Oklahoma has five seats in the U.S. House of Representatives. Four incumbents are running for re-election while…
- House GOP Leader Steve Scalise Warns of Incoming Democratic Investigations Targeting Trump AlliesPresident Donald Trump's political allies are being warned to brace for a wave of Democratic investigations as House Republican leadership scrambles to prepare for a potential congressional showdown, OK! can reveal. According to a November…
- Republicans Sweep Oklahoma’s Statewide Offices. Democrats Find a Silver Lining in the LegislatureA blue wave missed most Oklahoma midterm races Tuesday night, as Republican gubernatorial candidate Mike Mazzei and every other GOP statewide candidate cruised to victory. The state’s congressional delegation will also remain entirely…
- Hamilton: Oklahoma’s red wave has some blue ripplesIn politics, as in life, success begets success … until, one day, it doesn’t. And then, abruptly, the menu shifts from filet mignon to humble pie. Last century, their party so dominated state politics that it was considered utter nonsense…
- Stephanie Bice vs. Jena Nelson: Oklahoma U.S. House District 5 election results here Nov. 3Stephanie Bice, Oklahoma’s current U.S. District 5 Representative, is facing Democrat Jena Nelson and Independent candidates Robert Henri and Austin Nieves in Oklahoma’s midterm elections. District 5 covers 6 counties in central Oklahoma…
- Did 2021 redistricting seal Bice's victory over Nelson in Oklahoma's CD-5 race?Democrat Jena Nelson lost a tight race to Republican Stephanie Bice last night for Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District. Nelson likely could have won with the previous district boundaries. In 2021, Oklahoma lawmakers reconfigured CD-5 by…
- Oklahoma 2026 Election key takeaways: Mazzei secures narrow victory, voter turnout remains lowThe 2026 General election is in the books after months of ads, runoffs, and speculation on how Oklahomans would make their voices heard. Here are 5 takeaways from Tuesday night. Tuesday night’s race confirmed something that pollsters…
- Oklahoma 2026 Election Results: 5 Takeaways From Mazzei to voter turnoutThe 2026 General election is in the books after months of ads, runoffs, and speculation on how Oklahomans would make their voices heard. Here are 5 takeaways from Tuesday night. Tuesday night’s race confirmed something that pollsters…
- While congressional seats turn blue nationwide, Oklahoma stays redOklahoma incumbents retained their seats in the state and U.S. House, while Democrats flipped control of Congress in a wave of nationwide wins. While congressional seats across the nation turned blue on Tuesday, Oklahoma's five U.S. House…
- Oklahoma’s next District 5 U.S. Representative is Stephanie Bice, AP projectsStephanie Bice, Oklahoma’s current U.S. District 5 Representative, won Oklahoma’s District 5 U.S. Representative election, according to Associated Press projections Tuesday night. Bice’s win secures Oklahoma’s U.S. congressional seats as…
- Oklahoma Election Results: Republicans maintain hold on state despite national blue waveOklahomans went to the polls Tuesday to decide their next governor, U.S. senator, attorney general and more. Also on the ballot were two state questions, races for the U.S. House of Representatives and a slew of state offices. Kevin Hern…
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions