Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
OR-03 House election: Loran Ayles vote percent
The odds
20.53%median
16%24%
Median 20.53%
How the odds have moved
Median: 20.53% on Oct 20, 20.53% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 18% | 89% | $1.12 | 1.4K | |||
| At least 20% | 55% | $1.82 | 388 | |||
| At least 22% | 36% | $2.78 | 600 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OR- House, Loran Ayles
Search ›- Democrat investigations will hit Republicans in the House and Senate, Comer warnsFox Business Democrat investigations will hit Republicans in the House and Senate, Comer warns Rep. James Comer, R-Ky., discusses potential Democratic investigations, GOP oversight preparations and the possibility of impeachment…
- Reporter's Notebook: How midterms may change the House impeachment equation for HegsethFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on post-midterm calls from several Democrats to investigate President Donald Trump and his administration on ‘Hannity.’ Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., plans to reintroduce…
- Reporter's Notebook: A user’s manual to upcoming leadership elections in the House and SenateSeveral newly elected Democratic senators suggest they are not committed to supporting Sen. Chuck Schumer as Senate Majority Leader. Fox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on the Democratic Party’s priorities and…
- These House and Senate midterm races don't have winners yetNovember 6, 2026 / 9:18 AM EST / CBS News The makeup of Congress shifted dramatically in the 2026 midterm elections, as Democrats decisively won control of the Senate and picked up dozens of House seats — in what's on track to be one of…
- Houchin challenges McClain for House GOP conference chairby Sudiksha Kochi 11/05/26 11:36 AM ET Rep. Erin Houchin (R-Ind.) is challenging House GOP conference Chair Lisa McClain (R-Mich.) for the role, which will be central as Republicans work to sharpen their messaging in the minority next year…
- Democrats flip 4 more seats in the House, CNN projectsThe party is approaching 250 seats in the House, while two Senate races — in Mississippi and Alaska — have yet to be called. • What we’re tracking: Democrats flipped four additional seats in the House, CNN projects and could win their…
- A district-level look at the huge shifts across the House battlefieldThe most competitive House districts in the country shifted to the left dramatically, with Democrats running up the score in key races and racking up impressive wins in red districts, according to an analysis of the House races rated as…
- We lost the house. We refuse to surrender the gavel early. Here’s our planWashington Examiner On Tuesday night, the country watched as the American people made their choice for the makeup of the next Congress. It was not the outcome any of us in the Republican Party wanted, especially knowing that many of my…
- These are the races in the House and Senate that haven't been called yetDemocrats are poised to have a strong majority in the upcoming Congress. The final numbers are still being determined. Here's where things stand in the races that are waiting to be called by the AP. These are the races in the House and…
- Exclusive / Democrats weigh future of House China panelHouse Democrats are debating the future of the chamber’s select panel on US-China competition. One option for overhauling the committee, according to people familiar with the situation, is broadening its focus beyond China to explore…
- Republicans point fingers after massive midterms defeat; Jeffries runs for House speakerCBS News Power shifts on Capitol Hill Latest on European flight bomb threats GOP reckons with losses as Dems celebrate Eye Opener: Democrats rejoice, GOP lashes out Presidential historian on Democrats' midterm wins Why the midterms caused…
- Democrats win majority of Senate and House after midterm electionsCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Democrats…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions