Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
PA-02 House election: Jessica Arriaga vote percent
The odds
33%At least 26%
24%30%
How the odds have moved
At least 26%: 33% on Oct 20, 33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | 33% | $3.03 | 3.1K | |||
| At least 28% | 10% | 90¢ | $1.11 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PA- House, Jessica Arriaga
Search ›- See which PA House and Senate races could flip power.HARRISBURG — Control of the Pennsylvania House and Senate is on the line this Tuesday. Democrats want to maintain their majority in the lower chamber and flip the upper chamber for the first time in decades. If the party can do that — and…
- "Both Sides Now:" Pa. House District 144thBrian Munroe and Mike Murphy are vying to represent the 144th District in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives The district has a slight Republican registration edge, according to the most recent voter registration data available from…
- Election 2026: What Philly voters need to know before TuesdayAmericans will go to the polls Tuesday in a midterm election that will determine control of Congress for the final two years of President Donald Trump’s second term. In Pennsylvania, voters will also be electing a governor and choosing the…
- Election 2026: Independent Chris Gambino Running For State RepresentativeCandidates running in the Nov. 3 general election are providing background about themselves and their positions on the issues to voters in these profiles, which will run in Patch when they are received. BUCKS COUNTY, PA — Independent Chris…
- Pennsylvania House District 12 candidates respond to accusations made in attack ads and share final messageRepublican Scott Timko is challenging Democratic state Rep. Brandon Dukes in Pa. House District 12 in Butler County As the Pennsylvania House District 12 race heats up ahead of Tuesday's general election, Rep. Brandon Dukes and Scott Timko…
- What Berks County voters need to know before Election DayPartly cloudy skies overnight; back on the chillier side. . Visit WFMZ-TV's “Who's on the Ballot” webpage for a county-by-county breakdown of every contested race in Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Tune in to WFMZ-TV on Election Day, November…
- Delaware County 2026 election guideVoters in Delaware County are preparing to cast ballots in person and by mail for the 2026 midterm election. On Nov. 3, they can cast ballots in races for governor and lieutenant governor, members of Congress and candidates for all of the…
- 'Brave' Bob Brooks Bravely Runs Away From PA House DebateI am a big fan of the British comedy group Monty Python. Their second-best movie (after "Monty Python’s Life of Brian") is "Monty Python and the Holy Grail." This is a comedy about the legendary King Arthur of Britain and his knights of…
- Election 2026: Candidates stake out positions in in 147th Dist. PA House raceA former management consultant with an MBA and scientist with a Ph.D. is looking to oust the incumbent Republican in the race for the Pennsylvania 147th House District race. Margaret Burke, 58, is the Democratic candidate seeking to unseat…
- Pa. House passes bill to limit automatic license plate readersCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pa. House…
- PA House Approves Support For Shrinking News Operations Across StateHARRISBURG, PA —The state House has approved a legislative package intended to help support struggling and shrinking news operations across Pennsylvania. Approved on Wednesday were two measures introduced by Christopher Rabb, a…
- PA House and Senate pass ban on phones in schools, recent study suggests the effects will be minimal - Glenside LocalOctober 22nd, 2026 | By Ryan Genova The Pennsylvania House and Senate have passed a bell-to-bell ban on cellphones in schools. The Senate approved Senate Bill 1014 47-3 on Wednesday after the State House passed it earlier this week by a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions