Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
PA-06 House election: Marty Young vote percent
The odds
38.43%median
34%44%
Median 38.43%Middle half 36.33% – 39.52%
How the odds have moved
Median: 38.56% on Oct 19, 38.43% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 78% | $1.28 | 600 | |||
| At least 38% | 60% | $1.67 | 1.0K | |||
| At least 40% | 14% | $7.14 | 5.00 | |||
| At least 42% | 2% | $50.00 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PA- House, Marty Young
Search ›- Chelan County Clerk: Sandra Arechiga leads over Marty YoungFrom left: Marty Young and Sandra Arechiga Nov. 3 general election results: Chelan County Superior Court Clerk Marty Young (R): 11,343 votes (46.23%) Sandra Arechiga, an Independent, is running for Chelan County Superior Court Clerk…
- Pa. House 131st election results: Democrat Meriam Sabih unseats GOP Rep. Milou MackenzieMeriam Sabih is set to join the expanded Democratic cohort in the Pennsylvania House after defeating incumbent Republican Milou Mackenzie in the 131st District. In a news release, Sabih outlined her priorities for Harrisburg. Sabih’s race…
- Pa. House 187th election results: Democratic newcomer defeats 16-year GOP incumbent in Lehigh CountyFirst-time candidate and working mother Rachel Cuevas has unseated Republican state Rep. Gary Day, who has served in Harrisburg for 16 years. Cuevas indicated victory in a short social media post thanking voters. As of Wednesday morning…
- Staats wins reelection in 145th PA House DistrictRepublican State Rep. Craig Staats has won a seventh term to the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. Staats, a U.S. Navy veteran and former chairman of the Richland Township Board of Supervisors, was first elected to the Pennsylvania…
- PA Election Results: Democrats Now Control PA Senate, Retain PA House, Governor’s OfficeIn the PA Senate, Democrats have a projected majority of 26 to 24, flipping four Senate seats and losing one of their own. Republicans had held the Senate 27 to 23. There is no doubt A.I. data center issues played a role in the outcome of…
- Democrats have won Pa. House and Senate, handing Shapiro powerful trifectaHARRISBURG — Democrats have won control of the Pennsylvania Senate for the first time in more than three decades, giving the party a trifecta and the power to set policy for the state with few limitations. Republicans entered Tuesday’s…
- Brown wins a third term in Pa. HouseState Rep. Marla Gallo Brown, center, celebrates her victory with her staff and campaign crew. State Rep. Marla Gallo Brown gets a congratulatory kiss from her 3-year-old grandson, Henry Wadsworth Dean. Her husband, Greg Brown, looks on…
- Delaware County Pa. House delegation goes all Dem; referendum OK’d overwhelminglyAs major seats were flipped across the United States last night, the last Republican Pennsylvania House seat in the Delaware County delegation was also among them. Democrat Elizabeth Moro beat state Rep. Craig Williams, R-160, of Chadds…
- Pittsburgh Democrat Jessica Benham trounces GOP challenger to win 4th term in Pa. HouseState Rep. Jessica Benham, D-Pittsburgh, secured a decisive victory Tuesday over her Republican challenger to earn a fourth term in the Pennsylvania House. Benham tallied nearly 78% of the votes, according to Allegheny County’s unofficial…
- PA House District 29: Tim Brennan Vs. Sean Duffy [Live Results]BUCKS COUNTY, PA — The polls have closed in the 29th House District race in Bucks County, where incumbent Democrat Tim Brennan is facing a challenge from Republican Sean Duffy. Here are the current numbers as of 10:04 p.m.:Tim Brennan (D)…
- Pa. House and Senate election results: Who won Lehigh Valley races?All of the Lehigh Valley’s state House and Senate seats were on the ballot Tuesday, in an election where the balance of power in Harrisburg was at stake. Among the most closely watched races was in the state Senate 16th District…
- PA House District 178: Marcell Appears To Have Survived Blue Tidal WaveBUCKS COUNTY, PA — Republican State Rep. Kristin Marcell appears to have survived Tuesday's blue wave, which turned Bucks County a deeper shade of Democratic blue on Tuesday. After trailing most of the evening in the vote count against her…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions