Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
RI-02 House election: Seth Magaziner vote percent
The odds
61.05%median
50%70%
Median 61.05%Middle half 58.67% – 63.43%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.5% on Oct 24, 61.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 94% | $1.06 | 1.7K | |||
| At least 54% | 93% | $1.08 | 1.2K | |||
| At least 56% | 84% | $1.19 | 3.3K | |||
| At least 58% | 82% | $1.22 | 600 | |||
| At least 64% | 19% | $5.26 | 25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: RI- House, Seth Magaziner
Search ›- Allan Fung Wins Cranston RI House District 15 SeatAllan Fung is heading back to elected office. The former Cranston mayor has won Rhode Island House District 15 as an independent candidate, defeating Republican incumbent Chris Paplauskas and Democrat Colleen Crudele in a three-way race…
- Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang faces bipartisan congressional scrutiny over reported China spy linkLawmakers from both sides of the aisle are ramping up calls for investigations into reports of Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's relationship with an alleged Chinese spy. Some are also questioning what the Trump administration knew about the…
- Dem lawmakers already filling hopper with far left bills as socialists prepare to storm DCHouse Democrats are prepping a blitz of far-left bills—including decriminalizing prostitution and axing ICE — as a newly empowered majority and a surge of socialist lawmakers look to ram long-stalled legislation through Congress. Original…
- R.I. Senators Reed and Whitehouse gain power as blue wave sweeps midtermsThey’re calling it a blue wave across much of the country. In Rhode Island, it was just another Election Day. Democrats swept to victory in Tuesday’s election, with Helena Buonanno Foulkes winning the largest landslide in a governor’s race…
- Democrat Seth Magaziner wins reelection to U.S. House in Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional DistrictPolls are now closed in 40 states and D.C. as results from the 2026 midterm elections continue to come in. Follow live updates here. The pro-entertainment governor coasted to victory. Producers (if not California officials) should feel…
- Alumni Reelected in Connecticut, Kentucky, and Rhode IslandNed Lamont ’80 won another term as governor of Connecticut; Brett Guthrie ’97 and Seth Magaziner ’10 will return to Congress. Yale SOM alumni won reelection to the House of Representatives in Rhode Island and Kentucky and as governor of…
- Stravato wins Dist. 42 seat; Fascia offers praiseCouncilman Alfred Carnevale and Councilwoman Lauren Garzone greet voters outside Ferri Middle School Tuesday. Poll workers Jim Salisbury, Maria Petrarca and Lisa Parrillo check voters in at Ferri Middle School. From left, Democratic Party…
- Rhode Island’s congressional delegation prepares for more influence in Washingtonby Christopher Shea, Rhode Island Current November 4, 2026 U.S. Rep. Gabe Amo was an 18-year-old field organizer for Sheldon Whitehouse’s first U.S. Senate campaign in 2006 when he celebrated inside Providence’s Biltmore Hotel as Democrats…
- A new congress puts Homeland Security on noticeDemocrats won control of both chambers of Congress on Tuesday, a result that will give the party the committees that oversee the Department of Homeland Security when the new Congress convenes in January. CNN projected shortly after 10 p.m…
- RI Election Recap: New Governor, AG, Plus Voters Consider Bond QuestionsRhode Island will have a new governor and attorney general. Democrat Helena Buonanno Foulkes bested a field of five to win the governor's race. Foulkes, who worked for CVS Pharmacy for 25 years and was president from 2014 to 2018…
- A quick look at yesterday’s mid-term election results in Rhode IslandIn the end, none of Rhode Island’s statewide elections were all that close. Helena Buonanno Foulkes took over 57 percent of the vote in a five-way race. Even if Republican Aaron Guckian had pulled out and pledged his support to Independent…
- Rhode Island 2026 election results: Winners, ballot questions and what happens nextDemocrats appeared to sweep Rhode Island’s statewide elections Tuesday, which would see them maintain their hold on every statewide constitutional office. The party has won every statewide constitutional race since 2010, when independent…
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions