Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
SC-05 House election: Andy Kaplan vote percent
The odds
14%At least 1%
0%7%
How the odds have moved
At least 1%: 31% on Oct 20, 14% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 5 PM ETAt least 1%: 30% → 19%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 14% | 19¢ | $5.26 | 10.2K | ||
| At least 2% | 14% | $6.90 | 1.1K | |||
| At least 3% | 5% | $21.05 | 5.1K | |||
| At least 4% | 5% | 24¢ | $4.17 | 317 | ||
| At least 5% | 5% | $21.05 | 431 | |||
| At least 6% | 5% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 3.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SC- House, Andy Kaplan
Search ›- South Carolina voters flip Senate, congressional and SC House seats in record-breaking midtermIt was a big — and in many ways shocking— election night in South Carolina. Democrat Dr. Annie Andrews beat Republican Sen. Darline Graham, who was appointed to the seat this summer after the sudden death of her brother, the late Sen…
- Live results: How Spartanburg County voted in its SC House electionsPost and Courier SPARTANBURG — Here are live results for today's election for S.C. House races in Spartanburg County.
- SC House of Representatives election results: Who will represent Horry County?The South Carolina House of Representatives has 11 districts fully or partially in Horry County with seats up for election this year. Voters made their voices heard, and based on preliminary results, for the next two years, eight…
- Brent Nelsen weighs in on SC Democratic State House surgeFurman University Brent Nelsen weighs in on SC Democratic State House surge Furman University’s Brent Nelsen spoke to WIS 10 following Tuesday’s election results. Nelsen, the Jane Fishburne Hipp Professor of Politics and International…
- Early election returns favor Republican incumbent, 2 newcomer Dems for Mount Pleasant House racesMount Pleasant residents voted in three elections for state House of Representatives in Districts 80, 110 and 112. MOUNT PLEASANT — Early election night returns on Nov. 3 showed voters favored one Republican incumbent and two Democratic…
- Voter's guide to the 2026 midterm elections in South CarolinaThe choices South Carolina voters make in the 2026 midterm election will help determine who represents them in Washington, Columbia and communities across the state. But sorting through the candidates, races and voting rules can be a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions