Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
TN-08 House election: David Kustoff vote percent
The odds
57.05%median
48%78%
Median 57.05%Middle half 52.67% – 62.14%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57.97% on Oct 20, 57.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 90% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 29.00 | ||
| At least 52% | 80% | 92¢ | $1.09 | 1.3K | ||
| At least 54% | 65% | 78¢ | $1.28 | 666 | ||
| At least 66% | 6% | 54¢ | $1.85 | 410 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TN- House, David Kustoff
Search ›- Republican David Kustoff keeps Congress seat after winning U.S. House District 8 raceRaces on the ballot include governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Tennessee Senate and Tennessee House seats. Some cities and counties will also have local races. KNOXVILLE, Tenn. (WVLT) - Incumbent Republican candidate David Kustoff is…
- Gino Bulso keeps TN House District 61 seat after defeating Democrat Becca RipleyWILLIAMSON, Tenn. (WSMV) - Gino Bulso, the GOP incumbent for Tennessee House District 61, has defeated Democratic candidate Becca Ripley. During his time in office, he has served as chair for the House Naming and Designating Committee. He…
- TN House of Representative seats remain red following electionJohnson City Press Local Tennessee House of Representatives districts retained Republican candidates according to unofficial election results Tennessee House of Representatives District 6 incumbent candidate Tim Hicks faced the most…
- Democrat Brooks defeats Romero, earning re-election to TN House District 60 seatNASHVILLE, Tenn. (WSMV) - Democrat Shaundelle Brooks has been re-elected to serve District 60 in the Tennessee State House, defeating Republican Eva Romero. Brooks took the win earning 67.6% of votes compared to Romero’s 32%, as of 10:19…
- Memphis now represented by trio of Republicans in Congress after redistrictingMEMPHIS, Tenn. — Memphis is now represented by three Republicans in Washington after the state legislature redrew the congressional map. Memphis was once the only majority-Democratic congressional district in Tennessee. Memphis residents…
- Tennessee Election Results 2026: Statewide Winners, Constitutional Amendments, and Lakeland RacesMarsha Blackburn Wins Tennessee Governor’s Race Republican U.S. Senator Marsha Blackburn won Tennessee’s gubernatorial election, becoming the first woman elected governor in the state’s history. Blackburn defeated Democratic nominee Jerri…
- Tennessee could be sending a Democrat to Congress despite redistricting effortsBefore May, Memphis was at the center of the only Democrat seat from Tennessee in Congress. State Republicans gerrymandered the state's Congressional districts in May to give their party the advantage. New lines carved Memphis into…
- State Representative David Hawk Disputes Democratic Party Post-Election NumbersRepublican and State Representative David Hawk is debating statistics released by the local Democratic Party the day after the mid-term elections on Tuesday. Ms Summers also incorrectly assumes that a Democrat was running against me in…
- Kustoff claims victory in race for Tennessee’s redrawn US House District 8MEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - Incumbent Republican U.S. Representative David Kustoff is declaring himself the winner in the race for Tennessee’s newly redrawn 8th Congressional District. As of 11 p.m. Tuesday, Kustoff leads the race with 51.6% of…
- Rutherford voters lean Democrat in governor, US Senate, other officesA 16-year Republican dominance in Rutherford County shifted to Democrats Nov. 3 for federal and state offices. Rutherford voters favored Democrats for governor, three seats in Congress, including one held by Republican incumbent U.S. Rep…
- Justin J. Pearson concedes Tennessee Congressional District 9 raceDemocratic state Rep. Justin J. Pearson has conceded in the race to represent Tennessee's 9th Congressional District. Brent Taylor, a Republican state senator, has taken the seat in a narrow victory, flipping the historically…
- Republicans plan to win 9 House districts ends with surprise defeat(The Center Square) – The Tennessee General Assembly redrew the state's congressional district lines in hopes of having a Republican congressional delegation but lost a close race in the 4th District. The map carved Memphis and Shelby…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions