Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
TX-07 House election: Lizzie Fletcher vote percent
The odds
75%At least 64%
60%66%
How the odds have moved
At least 62%: 82% on Oct 20, 84% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 62% | 84% | $1.19 | 1.6K | |||
| At least 64% | 75% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Lizzie Fletcher
Search ›- Sanders, over 100 colleagues demand Trump stop illegally blocking Solar for AllThe Trump administration has withheld $7 billion in Solar for All funding since August 2025. This past September, two federal district courts ruled that the administration’s attempts to terminate ... Sanders, over 100 colleagues demand…
- Mystic Alerts Act Signed Into Law to Expand Warnings Through SatellitesA new federal law will allow emergency alerts to be transmitted through satellite networks when traditional cellular systems are unavailable, addressing communication failures highlighted by the deadly July 2025 floods in Central Texas…
- 200 supporters rally for Hinojosa as Abbott is expected to campaign in Houston-area this weekDemocratic candidate for governor Gina Hinojosa rallies with supporters the day before the state of early voting. The race has tightened in recent weeks. Governor Greg Abbott is also expected to spend time in the southeast Texas this week…
- Congresswoman Lizzie Fletcher Launches ‘Rights’ Ad Ahead of 2026 ElectionCongresswoman Lizzie Fletcher (TX-07) has released “Rights,” her second digital ad of the 2026 general election cycle, according to a press release from Fletcher’s campaign. The ad runs in 30- and 15-second versions on YouTube, Facebook…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions