Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
TX-13 House election: Mark Nair vote percent
The odds
76%At least 28%
24%30%
How the odds have moved
At least 26%: 86% on Oct 20, 81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | 81% | $1.23 | 756 | |||
| At least 28% | 76% | $1.32 | 3.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Mark Nair
Search ›- Trey Wharton holds commanding lead in TX House District 12 raceBRYAN, Texas (KBTX) -Incumbent Trey Wharton (R) is poised to retain his seat in the Texas House of Representatives, claiming District 12 by a landslide over (D) Andie Ho. With 91.1% of votes counted, Wharton had 69.7% of the votes for…
- Democrat Sara McGee defeats Republican incumbent Mike Schofield in TX House District 132KATY, Texas (Covering Katy News) — Democratic challenger Sara McGee defeated Republican incumbent state Rep. Mike Schofield in Tuesday's general election for the District 132 seat in the Texas House of Representatives, according to…
- Brandon Gill and Ronny Jackson will return to U.S. House seats representing Denton CountyRonny Jackson and Brandon Gill, the two Republicans who represent the Denton area in the U.S. House, will be returning to Washington after winning reelection Tuesday. Rep. Ronny Jackson is set to serve another term representing District 13…
- Abbott, Paxton get Randall County voters support in Mid-term ElectionRoy Medlock, left, and Bryan Kerr show their support for State House of Representative candidate Holly Jeffreys Tuesday morning at the Randall County Justice Center. With over $11 billion being spent on political advertising for the…
- Locally, Republican voters took the lead, but more Amarillo-area voters selected Democratic candidates than in past decadesOn her first assignment for the Amarillo Tribune, Nell Williams attended the High Plains Republican Women’s watch party on Tuesday evening. She described the 100 or so attendees’ mood as upbeat, even when results started showing Democrats…
- Election 2026: Doctors who won and lost races for CongressPhysicians engaged in some of the most closely watched races in the country. There will be a healthy number of doctors in the House and Senate, and a few physicians engaged in contests that helped shift control of Congress. Annie Andrews…
- Elections 2026: Live results for local and state racesAMARILLO, Texas (KFDA) - NewsChannel 10 is tracking election results for multiple Texas Panhandle elections as well as state elections. Candidates for Potter County Judge are Michelle Eggleston and Jerry Glover. You can hear their…
- Brandon Gill and Ronny Jackson set to return to U.S. House seats representing Denton CountyThe two Republicans who represent the Denton area in the U.S. House look poised to return to Washington. With 89% of precincts reporting early Wednesday morning, Rep. Ronny Jackson is set to serve another term representing District 13 in…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions