Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
TX-16 House election: Adam Bauman vote percent
The odds
33.78%median
28%40%
Median 33.78%Middle half 30.5% – 36.63%
How the odds have moved
Median: 33.38% on Oct 24, 33.78% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 78% | $1.28 | 470 | |||
| At least 32% | 66% | $1.52 | 2.2K | |||
| At least 36% | 30% | 92¢ | $1.09 | 8.00 | ||
| At least 38% | 14% | 18¢ | $5.56 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Adam Bauman
Search ›- Senfronia Thompson announces bid to be TX House SpeakerFOX 7 Austin Veteran State Rep. Senfronia Thompson has formally launched her campaign to become the next Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives, declaring that she has already secured the necessary majority backing to lead the…
- Trey Wharton holds commanding lead in TX House District 12 raceBRYAN, Texas (KBTX) -Incumbent Trey Wharton (R) is poised to retain his seat in the Texas House of Representatives, claiming District 12 by a landslide over (D) Andie Ho. With 91.1% of votes counted, Wharton had 69.7% of the votes for…
- Democrat Sara McGee defeats Republican incumbent Mike Schofield in TX House District 132KATY, Texas (Covering Katy News) — Democratic challenger Sara McGee defeated Republican incumbent state Rep. Mike Schofield in Tuesday's general election for the District 132 seat in the Texas House of Representatives, according to…
- Congresswoman Veronica Escobar sails into fifth termDemocratic U.S. Rep. Veronica Escobar is headed toward a fifth term in Congress after taking a vast majority of the early vote in the Nov. 3 midterm election, defeating Republican Adam Bauman for the seat. Escobar received nearly 73% of…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions