Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
TX-20 House election: Joaquin Castro vote percent
The odds
53%At least 70%
64%72%
How the odds have moved
At least 66%: 84% on Oct 20, 84% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 66% | 84% | $1.20 | 1.0K | |||
| At least 68% | 84% | $1.20 | 1.3K | |||
| At least 70% | 53% | $1.89 | 429 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Joaquin Castro
Search ›- Senfronia Thompson announces bid to be TX House SpeakerFOX 7 Austin Veteran State Rep. Senfronia Thompson has formally launched her campaign to become the next Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives, declaring that she has already secured the necessary majority backing to lead the…
- Rep. Joaquin Castro returns to D.C. with Democrats in control of Congress. What's on his to-do list?San Antonio Democratic Congressman Joaquin Castro has won reelection to an eighth term in the U.S. House of Representatives, returning to Washington with his party back in control of Congress. Castro defeated Republican Edgardo Báez in…
- Democrat Joaquin Castro claims eighth term in reshaped San Antonio Congressional districtFocused on immigration issues, U.S. Rep. Joaquin Castro (D-San Antonio) sails to his eighth term in Congress representing the 20th Congressional District. The San Antonio district which encompasses nearly all of downtown was reshaped…
- Joaquin Castro wins reelection to U.S. House seat in Texas’ 20th DistrictWOAI NBC News Channel 4 San Antonio provides local news, weather forecasts, traffic updates, investigations, and items of interest in the community, sports and entertainment programming for San Antonio and nearby towns and communities in…
- Democrat Joaquin Castro wins reelection to U.S. House in Texas' 20th Congressional DistrictGordonville driver killed in head-on crash on US 377 - Whitesboro ISD postpones senior pep rally after former teacherâs death - Two people taken to hospital due to ATV crash - Ardmore restaurant manager accused of sexual relationship…
- Trey Wharton holds commanding lead in TX House District 12 raceBRYAN, Texas (KBTX) -Incumbent Trey Wharton (R) is poised to retain his seat in the Texas House of Representatives, claiming District 12 by a landslide over (D) Andie Ho. With 91.1% of votes counted, Wharton had 69.7% of the votes for…
- San Antonio congressman calls on federal government to release El Paso family allegedly detained by ICEEL PASO, Texas (KVIA) -- U.S. Congressman Joaquin Castro (Democrat for Texas’ 20th District), who represents an area in western San Antonio and Bexar County, is urging ICE to release Michell Germán and her family. He noted that she is a…
- Democrat Sara McGee defeats Republican incumbent Mike Schofield in TX House District 132KATY, Texas (Covering Katy News) — Democratic challenger Sara McGee defeated Republican incumbent state Rep. Mike Schofield in Tuesday's general election for the District 132 seat in the Texas House of Representatives, according to…
- It Wasn’t Just Gas Prices. Anti-ICE Sentiment Fueled Republican Midterm Losses.Polling finds that Americans across racial and ethnic groups view ICE more unfavorably today than they did a year ago. While President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance blame Republicans’ losses in the midterm elections on their war…
- Flávio Bolsonaro Resurfaces at Trump's Mar-a-Lago After Fleeing Brazil, Draws Online Backlash: 'Refuge of Foreign Criminals'Flávio Bolsonaro made his first major public appearance in the United States since leaving Brazil after his election defeat, joining conservative figures at Donald Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate on 5 November. His appearance at a Conservative…
- PAID FOR LATER: Israel Owes Some $10 Billion For U.S. Weapons Beyond Current Aid Deal, State Department Document ShowsIsrael has ordered about $10 billion worth of American military equipment that will still need to be paid for after the current U.S. aid agreement runs out in 2028, the Wall Street Journal reports, citing a State Department document sent…
- Dem wins Trump-targeted Texas district in rebuke of Republican redistricting shakeupFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram has the latest on Republican-led redistricting efforts ahead of the midterm elections, examining how proposed congressional map changes could reshape key House races, influence the…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions