Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
TX-23 House election: Katy Padilla Stout vote percent
The odds
53.57%median
38%60%
Median 53.57%Middle half 52.3% – 54.84%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.28% on Oct 20, 53.57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 98% | 87¢ | $1.02 | 156 | ||
| At least 42% | 98% | 86¢ | $1.02 | 1.1K | ||
| At least 44% | 98% | 99¢ | $1.02 | 1.7K | ||
| At least 46% | 98% | 87¢ | $1.02 | 3.3K | ||
| At least 48% | 98% | 99¢ | $1.02 | 2.1K | ||
| At least 50% | 98% | $1.02 | 2.0K | |||
| At least 52% | 81% | $1.23 | 205 | |||
| At least 56% | 2% | $50.00 | 234 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Katy Padilla Stout, TX- House
Search ›- Democrat Katy Padilla Stout wins Texas' 23 congressional district, flipping seatNovember 4, 2026 / 2:01 AM EST / CBS News Democrat Katy Padilla Stout is projected to win Texas' 23rd Congressional District, flipping the seat after Republicans nominated controversial pro-gun YouTube personality Brandon Herrera. The…
- Katy Padilla Stout beats YouTube edgelord Brandon Herrera for San Antonio-area congressional seatSan Antonio attorney Katy Padilla Stout, a Democrat, beat Republican YouTube gun influencer Brandon Herrera in the heated contest to represent Texas’ 23rd Congressional District. Texas 23rd District, which includes part of San Antonio and…
- Katy Padilla Stout to host victory press conference after flipping Texas’ 23rd Congressional DistrictSAN ANTONIO – Democrat Katy Padilla Stout is holding a victory press conference Wednesday after defeating Republican Brandon Herrera and flipping Texas’ 23rd Congressional District. The press conference is scheduled from 1 to 2 p.m. at the…
- Katy Padilla Stout, Democratic newcomer, flips West Texas congressional seatWe pursue the truth so Texans can shape our future. by Ayden Runnels, The Texas Tribune November 4, 2026 The election is over, but the work of holding Texas officials accountable is just beginning. Help us pursue the truth. Every gift…
- Democrat Katy Padilla Stout Wins TX-23 by a Sizeable Margin, Brandon Herrera Graciously ConcedesDecision Desk HQ has projected that Democrat child welfare attorney and former educator Katy Padilla Stout has defeated businessman and 2A advocate Brandon Herrera to win the TX-23 congressional race. Padilla Stout won 52 to 44, with 95…
- Katy Padilla Stout defeats Brandon Herrera, flipping U.S. House seatCongressional candidate Katy Padilla Stout speaks during a campaign rally Sunday afternoon at Palo Alto College. Brandon Herrera, the Republican candidate for Texas’ 23rd Congressional District, speaks during a political rally at Freeman…
- Democrat Katy Padilla Stout wins election to U.S. House in Texas’ 23rd Congressional DistrictFraser Valley Today Democrat Katy Padilla Stout wins election to U.S. House in Texas’ 23rd Congressional District
- Democrat Katy Padilla Stout claims victory over Brandon Herrera in Texas’ 23rd Congressional DistrictDemocrat Katy Padilla Stout appeared headed for a stunning victory Tuesday night in Texas’ sprawling 23rd Congressional District, defeating expectations, flipping a congressional seat and promising to bring healing to the area marked by…
- Who Is Katy Padilla Stout? Former Teacher and Child Welfare Lawyer Who Took On Brandon Herrera in TexasThe closely watched race for Texas' 23rd Congressional District went to voters on Nov. 3, with Democrat Katy Padilla Stout facing Republican firearms personality Brandon Herrera and independent candidate Ben Mendoza for the vacant seat. As…
- San Antonio Mayor speaks on Katy Padilla Stout's early lead over Brandon Herrera for District 23kens5.com San Antonio Mayor speaks on Katy Padilla Stout's early lead over Brandon Herrera for District 23 To stream KENS 5 on your phone, you need the KENS 5 app. Download the KENS 5 app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for…
- Trey Wharton holds commanding lead in TX House District 12 raceBRYAN, Texas (KBTX) -Incumbent Trey Wharton (R) is poised to retain his seat in the Texas House of Representatives, claiming District 12 by a landslide over (D) Andie Ho. With 91.1% of votes counted, Wharton had 69.7% of the votes for…
- Democrat Sara McGee defeats Republican incumbent Mike Schofield in TX House District 132KATY, Texas (Covering Katy News) — Democratic challenger Sara McGee defeated Republican incumbent state Rep. Mike Schofield in Tuesday's general election for the District 132 seat in the Texas House of Representatives, according to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions