Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
TX-30 House election: Everett Jackson vote percent
The odds
19.63%median
14%28%
Median 19.63%Middle half 18.47% – 22.54%
How the odds have moved
Median: 19.77% on Oct 20, 19.63% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 16% | 94% | $1.06 | 4.1K | |||
| At least 18% | 85% | $1.18 | 1.9K | |||
| At least 20% | 42% | $2.38 | 3.1K | |||
| At least 22% | 30% | $3.33 | 264 | |||
| At least 24% | 12% | 90¢ | $1.11 | 201 | ||
| At least 26% | 12% | $8.70 | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Everett Jackson
Search ›- Senfronia Thompson announces bid to be TX House SpeakerFOX 7 Austin Veteran State Rep. Senfronia Thompson has formally launched her campaign to become the next Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives, declaring that she has already secured the necessary majority backing to lead the…
- Trey Wharton holds commanding lead in TX House District 12 raceBRYAN, Texas (KBTX) -Incumbent Trey Wharton (R) is poised to retain his seat in the Texas House of Representatives, claiming District 12 by a landslide over (D) Andie Ho. With 91.1% of votes counted, Wharton had 69.7% of the votes for…
- Democrat Sara McGee defeats Republican incumbent Mike Schofield in TX House District 132KATY, Texas (Covering Katy News) — Democratic challenger Sara McGee defeated Republican incumbent state Rep. Mike Schofield in Tuesday's general election for the District 132 seat in the Texas House of Representatives, according to…
- Democrat Frederick Douglas Haynes III wins Texas' 30th Congressional District raceNovember 3, 2026 / 7:28 PM CST / CBS Texas Democrat Frederick Douglas Haynes III, a longtime Dallas pastor and civil rights advocate, has defeated Republican Everett Jackson in the race for Texas' 30th Congressional District, CBS News…
- CBC Roundup: New Black Democratic members of the 120th CongressThank you, Illinois. I am beyond humbled and honored to serve as your next U.S. Senator. The real work starts now — I won’t let you down. I hope all the little girls across Illinois and the country see last night’s results and know that…
- Texas turns blue as Democrats brew historic wins in Congress and governorship racesFollow live midterm updates here The Democratic party has pulled off a historic victory in Texas winning its first Senate seat since 1988, as well as the governorship in a state that has long been a Republican stronghold. Gina Hinojosa, an…
- Megachurch Pastor Frederick D. Haynes III wins Jasmine Crockett's House seatDallas megachurch pastor and civil rights advocate Frederick Douglass Haynes III is projected to win the race for Texas' 30th Congressional District, keeping the district under Democratic control. Haynes, the senior pastor of the…
- Several North Texas congressional seats could shift power in CongressThe U.S. Capitol, seen from the Washington Monument, on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026, in Washington. North Texas voters are deciding several congressional races Tuesday that could help shape the balance of power in the U.S. House…
- Frederick Haynes III will succeed Jasmine Crockett in the U.S. HouseDemocrat Frederick Haynes III won the race for the U.S. House's 30th District on Tuesday, defeating Republican Everett Jackson and securing an open seat in a contest that will help shape the state's congressional delegation. The seat…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions