Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
TX-30 House election: Frederick Haynes vote percent
The odds
76.76%median
68%80%
Median 76.76%Middle half 73.67% – 77.87%
How the odds have moved
Median: 76.67% on Oct 21, 76.76% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 2.2K | ||
| At least 72% | 90% | $1.11 | 1.3K | |||
| At least 74% | 72% | $1.39 | 851 | |||
| At least 76% | 67% | 31¢ | $1.49 | 4.4K | ||
| At least 78% | 22% | $4.55 | 217 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Frederick Haynes
Search ›- The Interview: Rev Frederick Haynes III, winner of a Texas congressional seatAfter his midterm victory, Rev Frederick Haynes is eager to serve with fellow ordained congressmen. He speaks to ADELLE M BANKS, of Religion News Service… Rev Frederick Douglass Haynes III got a taste of what it would be like to be both a…
- Dallas pastor Frederick Haynes III on his election to CongressFrederick Haynes III says he saw it coming: the blue wave that swept Texas and the U.S. The senior pastor of Friendship-West Baptist Church in Dallas won election to the U.S. House. “Americans, Texans in particular, said it's time for us…
- Senfronia Thompson announces bid to be TX House SpeakerFOX 7 Austin Veteran State Rep. Senfronia Thompson has formally launched her campaign to become the next Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives, declaring that she has already secured the necessary majority backing to lead the…
- Frederick Haynes thanks supporters following projected congressional winCBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News Boston: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Los Angeles: Voters Decide CBS News Miami: Voters Decide CBS…
- Frederick Haynes projected to win Texas' 30th Congressional DistrictCBS News Boston: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Miami: Voters Decide CBS News New York: Voters Decide CBS News Philadelphia: Voters Decide CBS News…
- Frederick Haynes III will succeed Jasmine Crockett in the U.S. HouseDemocrat Frederick Haynes III won the race for the U.S. House's 30th District on Tuesday, defeating Republican Everett Jackson and securing an open seat in a contest that will help shape the state's congressional delegation. The seat…
- Trey Wharton holds commanding lead in TX House District 12 raceBRYAN, Texas (KBTX) -Incumbent Trey Wharton (R) is poised to retain his seat in the Texas House of Representatives, claiming District 12 by a landslide over (D) Andie Ho. With 91.1% of votes counted, Wharton had 69.7% of the votes for…
- Democrat Sara McGee defeats Republican incumbent Mike Schofield in TX House District 132KATY, Texas (Covering Katy News) — Democratic challenger Sara McGee defeated Republican incumbent state Rep. Mike Schofield in Tuesday's general election for the District 132 seat in the Texas House of Representatives, according to…
- Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa's stance on education changes coming to TexasThroughout her campaign, Hinojosa focused on affordability, public education and other issues affecting Texas families. She criticized Abbott's leadership and argued that voters were more concerned about rising costs than political…
- Tarrant County flips from red to blue"It's looking really good right now," Alisa Simmons said. "It appears that this Tarrant County Commissioners Court has flipped ... And I told Judge O'Hare this when he called; he called an hour ago to congratulate me." Tarrant County flips…
- Plano voters reject proposed venue for Dallas StarsCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Plano voters reject…
- Democrats take control in Texas: "We shocked the world"CBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Democrats take control in…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions