Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
UT-04 House election: Taylor Wright vote percent
The odds
2.58%median
0%4%
Median 2.58%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.58% on Oct 20, 2.58% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 3.3K | ||
| At least 2% | 69% | $1.45 | 2.7K | |||
| At least 3% | 36% | $2.78 | 400 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: UT- House, Taylor Wright
Search ›- Rep. Mike Kennedy leads Jonny Larsen in Utah's 4th Congressional District raceSALT LAKE CITY (KUTV) — Republican incumbent Mike Kennedy held a sizable lead over Democratic challenger Jonny Larsen in Utah's 4th Congressional District race, although the outcome remained undecided as election officials continued…
- U.S. Rep. Mike Kennedy maintaining a double-digit lead in 4th Congressional District(Trent Nelson | The Salt Lake Tribune) Candidate for Utah’s 4th Congressional District Republican Mike Kennedy participates in a debate with Democrat Jonny Larsen at Snow College in Ephraim on Thursday, Oct. 8, 2026. Freshman U.S. Rep…
- Why Texas attorney Thomas J. Henry is backing Talarico, HinojosaAttorney Thomas J. Henry held a press conference Wednesday, October 6, 2022, to accuse Republican Bexar County judge candidate Trish DeBerry of lying about his involvement in attack ads against her. “I know what it’s like to support people…
- Four candidates seek Utah's 4th Congressional District seatUtah Public Radio published this article in collaboration with the Sanpete Messenger as part of its election coverage. Sanpete County voters will choose among four candidates for the U.S. House of Representatives in the Nov. 3 election…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions