Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
VA-03 House election: Bobby Scott vote percent
The odds
75.33%median
64%82%
Median 75.33%Middle half 74.58% – 76.23%
How the odds have moved
Median: 71.52% on Oct 20, 75.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 66% | 98% | $1.02 | 10.00 | |||
| At least 68% | 98% | $1.02 | 25.00 | |||
| At least 70% | 98% | $1.02 | 10.00 | |||
| At least 72% | 96% | $1.04 | 1.4K | |||
| At least 74% | 94% | $1.06 | 610 | |||
| At least 76% | 28% | $3.57 | 3.2K | |||
| At least 78% | 2% | $50.00 | 405 | |||
| At least 80% | 2% | $50.00 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Bobby Scott
Search ›- Bobby Scott wins reelection in Virginia’s 3rd Congressional DistrictDemocratic incumbent Rep. Bobby Scott secured another two-year term to represent Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District, winning his reelection bid Tuesday against three challengers. Scott’s victory is another notch in a district, which…
- VA House District 20 Special Election Results: Vasquez Luna vs. Fritzen [Live Updates]PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY, VA —Polls have officially closed across Virginia, and election officials are tabulating ballots cast in Tuesday's general election. Results from races statewide are expected to be reported throughout the evening…
- Democrats warn Trump officials to keep records or risk criminal penalties after midterm victoriesExclusive: letter sent to department and agency heads signals Democrats will look to investigate Trump officials A group of Democratic lawmakers are asking leaders in the Trump administration to preserve records in accordance with federal…
- Contender to lead House education committee pushes to repeal education tax creditRep. Suzanne Bonamici, one of several Democrats running to lead the committee, says the program that’s championed by top Jewish groups favors private schools rather than public education Rep. Suzanne Bonamici (D-OR) speaks during a press…
- Trump Pushes Crypto Access in 401(k) Retirement Plans as Labor Rule Enters Final ReviewThe Trump administration has moved closer to changing how 401(k) retirement plans consider cryptocurrency investments. The Department of Labor sent its final-stage rule to the White House on November 5, but the measure has not taken…
- Buttigieg on Concerns $15 Minimum Wage Would Hurt Small Businesses: ‘I’m Not Interested in Who It Hurts’Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg said he was “not interested in who it hurts” when Patrick Bet-David warned that a $15 minimum wage could put small businesses at a disadvantage against major corporations. The exchange came…
- Some of Virginia’s congressional delegation could hold powerful positions in the new CongressSenator Mark Warner is in line to become chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, and Congressman Bobby Scott may be returning as chair of the House Education and Workforce Committee. Mark Rozell is dean of the Schar School at George…
- New Kids on the Hill: Generational Change Sweeps the HouseAlmost 1 in 4 members will be in their first term next year. Rep. Robert Garcia is poised to chair the House Oversight panel after serving just two terms in Congress. (J. Scott Applewhite/AP) By Paul Kane and Emma Ruby November 6, 2026…
- Democrats to Trump: Don’t Destroy Government RecordsNovember 5, 2026 Nov 5, 2026 Democrats to Trump: Don’t Destroy Government Records Rep. Bobby Scott urged federal agencies to preserve government records, reminding them that destruction or falsification of such documents is a federal…
- How each Virginia congressional district shifted leftby Andrew Kerley, Politics & Policy Reporter While the Virginia GOP saved one of its competitive seats amid the blue tsunami that swept America on Tuesday, every congressional district in the state still swung left since the last election…
- Scott to Rollins, Kennedy: ‘Save everything’In a sign of Democratic investigations of the Trump administration to come next year, Rep. Robert "Bobby" Scott, D-Va., incoming chair of the House Education and Workforce Committee, sent notices today to Agriculture Secretary Brooke…
- Key House Democrat signals heightened regulatory scrutiny at DOL following big election victoriesFollowing big Democratic election wins, Rep. Bobby Scott is laying the groundwork for heightened regulatory scrutiny by telling the DOL to preserve pertinent records. Key House Democrat signals heightened regulatory scrutiny at DOL…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions