Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
VA-04 House election: Jennifer McClellan vote percent
The odds
69.81%median
64%80%
Median 69.81%
How the odds have moved
Median: 69.81% on Oct 20, 69.81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 68% | 64% | $1.56 | 1.5K | |||
| At least 72% | 33% | $3.03 | 1.8K | |||
| At least 76% | 9% | $11.11 | 410 | |||
| At least 78% | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 205 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Jennifer McClellan
Search ›- Jennifer McClellan wins reelection in Virginia’s 4th Congressional DistrictAP called the race at 8:33 p.m. Tuesday, with McClellan leading Republican challenger Robert “Family Man” Murray by a 67.1%–31.3% margin after roughly a third of votes had been counted. McClellan’s victory continues her representation of a…
- Democrat Jennifer McClellan wins reelection to U.S. House in Virginia's 4th Congressional DistrictDaily Guard Online All-Access Get access to ALL of our site and our brand new electronic edition! Sorry, no promotional deals were found matching that code. Promotional Rates were found for your code. Sorry, an error occurred. There was a…
- VA House District 20 Special Election Results: Vasquez Luna vs. Fritzen [Live Updates]PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY, VA —Polls have officially closed across Virginia, and election officials are tabulating ballots cast in Tuesday's general election. Results from races statewide are expected to be reported throughout the evening…
- Henrico News Minute – Nov. 6, 2026Another deferral recommended for the proposed redevelopment of the former Hadad's Lake property in Varina; a deeper look at Henrico County's continued shift to a Democratic stronghold; free food giveaway planned before Thanksgiving…
- Virginia Medicaid schedules 3 town hall meetings on 2027 coverage changesVirginia Medicaid will hold a series of virtual town halls to explain federal changes expected to affect some Medicaid members in 2027. The sessions are open to the public and will take place Nov. 10, Dec. 2 and Jan. 15, 2027. Each session…
- How each Virginia congressional district shifted leftby Andrew Kerley, Politics & Policy Reporter While the Virginia GOP saved one of its competitive seats amid the blue tsunami that swept America on Tuesday, every congressional district in the state still swung left since the last election…
- Developers adding 522 affordable housing units in RichmondDevelopers are moving on two affordable housing projects that will add more than 520 units in Richmond. Virginia’s housing regulators should make six changes to the state building code to encourage more of the affordable housing the state…
- Henrico's Democratic shift accelerates as Republican congressional vote totals plungeAn analysis of the 2022, 2024 and 2026 congressional elections shows Democrats expanding their advantage in Henrico, with Republican vote totals falling sharply between the presidential election of 2024 and this year's midterms Democrats…
- Democrats gain two Virginia House seats as final races called(The Center Square) – Democrats gained two seats in Virginia’s U.S. House of Representatives delegation as Shannon Taylor unseated Republican Rob Wittman and Republican John McGuire narrowly won reelection against Democrat Tom Perriello…
- ‘I feel humbled;’ Jackie McDonnough elected to Richmond School BoardRICHMOND, Va. (WWBT) - In a surprising upset, Richmond voters elected Jackie McDonnough to represent the 6th district on the city’s school board. She defeated Ann Holton, the former education secretary, who is also the wife of Senator Tim…
- Editorial: Tuesday’s Democratic sweep alters the balance of power in WashingtonThough it will still take some time to report and certify the final tallies, Americans sent a loud, clear and unmistakable message on Tuesday night by returning the Democratic Party to power in Congress. President Donald Trump wasn’t on…
- Shannon Taylor declares victory over Rob Wittman; what's next?Henrico Commonwealth's Attorney Shannon Taylor has declared victory over longtime Republican Representative Rob Wittman in Virginia's 1st Congressional District, part of a strong Election Day for Democrats nationwide. Taylor tells CBS 6…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions