Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent
The odds
78.21%median
66%88%
Median 78.21%Middle half 76.9% – 80.8%
How the odds have moved
Median: 78.38% on Oct 20, 78.21% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 94% | $1.06 | 5.00 | |||
| At least 74% | 94% | $1.06 | 10.00 | |||
| At least 76% | 94% | $1.06 | 1.5K | |||
| At least 78% | 52% | $1.92 | 6.5K | |||
| At least 80% | 33% | $3.03 | 166 | |||
| At least 82% | 13% | $7.69 | 10.00 | |||
| At least 84% | 11% | $9.09 | 205 | |||
| At least 86% | 11% | 38¢ | $2.63 | 200 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Don Beyer
Search ›- Rep. Don Beyer pushes for House Select Committee on AI with subpoena powerThe Virginia Democrat wants a dedicated AI panel that can compel documents and testimony and help move safety legislation Congress has spent years holding hearings about artificial intelligence. Rep. Don Beyer wants a committee that can…
- Video: Rep. Don Beyer (D-VA08) Blasts Trump’s “Arch” as “illegal,” a “monumental abomination to one man’s ego”Video: Rep. Don Beyer (D-VA08) Blasts Trump's "Arch" as "illegal," a "monumental abomination to one man's ego" Blue Virginia Trump's arch will create a permament blight in the viewshed of Arlington National Cemetery.. This monumental…
- VA House District 20 Special Election Results: Vasquez Luna vs. Fritzen [Live Updates]PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY, VA —Polls have officially closed across Virginia, and election officials are tabulating ballots cast in Tuesday's general election. Results from races statewide are expected to be reported throughout the evening…
- Trump’s planned arch delayed after federal judge orders two week pauseWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Democrats React to Trump’s Naming of Stephen Miller As Chief of StaffDemocrats up and down the aisle reacted negatively to President Donald Trump over his choice for next chief of staff. Trump’s decision to elevate longtime trusted adviser Stephen Miller to White House chief of staff triggered immediate…
- ‘DARTH VADER’: Dems Melt Down As Trump Picks MAGA Icon For Chief Of StaffPresident Donald Trump has promoted longtime MAGA loyalist Stephen Miller to White House chief of staff, sending Democrats and liberal media figures into a frenzy just days after Republicans suffered major midterm election losses. The…
- Democrat Congressman Learns Stephen Miller is New Chief of Staff Live On-Air — “I’m Going to Go Cry!”Susie Wiles is out, and Stephen Miller is in as President Trump’s new White House chief of staff… And, Democrats are already melting down! Democrat Rep. Don Beyer of Virginia found out about the leadership shakeup in the middle of a live…
- “I’m Going to Cry…Stephen Miller is the Darth Vader of This Country” – Snowflake Democrat Congressman Whimpers Over Miller Becoming WH Chief of Staff (VIDEO)Democrat lawmakers are losing it so badly over Stephen Miller’s new role that it’s bringing some of them to tears. As The Gateway Pundit reported, President Trump on Friday afternoon announced that his Chief of Staff, Susie Wiles, will be…
- Federal judge temporarily blocks construction of President Trump’s D.C.-area archWASHINGTON (NBC, KYMA) - Within hours of the national capital planning commission's approval of President Donald Trump's "Triumphal Arch" construction, a federal judge temporarily blocked construction from beginning. A temporary…
- Rep. James Walkinshaw (D-VA11): “Voters sent Trump a clear message…enough chaos, enough cruelty, lower prices. His answer? Make the main architect of the chaos, Stephen Miller, his chief of staff.”See below for reactions to Trump’s announcement that he’s replacing his Chief of Staff, Susie Wiles, with one of the most evil people in America – no exaggeration at all on that – Stephen Miller (the 2026 American version of Joseph…
- Trump names Stephen Miller chief of staff: Bold strategy, CottonJust yesterday, Donald Trump was looking forward to working with Democrats to get things done. Today, Trump elevated henchman Stephen Miller to be his next chief of staff, signaling that he has no interest in working on anything with…
- FNC’s Watters: ‘Maybe We Need More Darth Vader in the White House’On Friday on Fox News Channel’s “Jesse Watters Primetime,” host Jesse Watters suggested the White House needs “more Darth Vader” as Democrats prepare to assume control of Capitol Hill in 2027. Watters said the tactic is appropriate, noting…
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36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
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46.75%median
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions