Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
VA-08 House election: Tony Sabio vote percent
The odds
18.57%median
12%32%
Median 18.57%Middle half 15.31% – 19.49%
How the odds have moved
Median: 21.08% on Oct 20, 18.57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 14% | 93% | $1.08 | 128 | |||
| At least 16% | 66% | $1.53 | 92.00 | |||
| At least 18% | 66% | $1.53 | 1.7K | |||
| At least 20% | 11% | $9.09 | 690 | |||
| At least 22% | 3% | $33.33 | 405 | |||
| At least 24% | 3% | 90¢ | $1.11 | 315 | ||
| At least 26% | 3% | 81¢ | $1.23 | 2.3K | ||
| At least 28% | 2% | 83¢ | $1.20 | 2.2K | ||
| At least 30% | 2% | $50.00 | 205 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Tony Sabio
Search ›- VA House District 20 Special Election Results: Vasquez Luna vs. Fritzen [Live Updates]PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY, VA —Polls have officially closed across Virginia, and election officials are tabulating ballots cast in Tuesday's general election. Results from races statewide are expected to be reported throughout the evening…
- Alexandria District 8 Vote: See Where Each Candidate Performed BestALEXANDRIA, VA – Incumbent Democratic Rep. Don Beyer dominated the Virginia 8th District contest in Alexandria, winning every precinct, according to preliminary results from the Virginia Department of Elections. He performed best in…
- Massive Reset: New Morning in America - Falls Church News-Press OnlineThere were not any suprises in the City of Falls Church results in this Tuesday’s election, as much as it was clearly epochal on the national scale. The most important election of our lifetimes saw an overwhelming restoration of Democratic…
- Falls Church voters boost victories for Warner, Beyer and state amendmentsFalls Church voters reaffirmed their political allegiance to Sen. Mark Warner and Rep. Don Beyer, helping the two secure easy victories last night (Tuesday). Warner (D-Va.) garnered 6,828 votes, or 84.8%, in the city, based on unofficial…
- NoVA Congressional Race Results 2026: Warner vs. Mizusawa, U.S. House Races [Live Updates]Polls have officially closed across Virginia, and election officials are tabulating ballots cast in Tuesday's general election. Officials expect to report results from races across the state throughout the evening. Some contests are likely…
- Sen. Warner takes final aim at GOP in election eve campaign rally in AlexandriaU.S. Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) put a final stamp on his political career Monday night, as the three-term senator and former governor held his last campaign rally in Alexandria. Flanked by Alexandria Mayor Alyia Gaskins and Northern Virginia…
- DEVELOPING: Warner, Beyer claim reelection wins at Alexandria election night rallyRep. Don Beyer (D-8) and Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) declared victories in their reelection bids during an election night event in Alexandria Tuesday night. “I’m incredibly grateful to the people of Virginia for putting their faith in me one…
- Virginia Democrats cruise to victory as the Blue Wave crushes the GOPNorthern Virginia Democrats celebrated big wins Tuesday night, as voters re-elected Sen. Mark Warner, Rep. Don Beyer, and Rep. James Walkinshaw by big margins. All three spoke at a Democratic election night event in Alexandria, along with…
- Democrat Rob Sand projected to be Iowa’s next governor, flipping the seatWVVA Democrat Rob Sand projected to be Iowa’s next governor, flipping the seat Midterm election results - three things to know U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer's press gaggle after voting ROAD ALERT: Closure impacting Fincastle Turnpike in…
- McLean Election Day Guide: Congressional Races, Bond Questions And MoreMCLEAN, VA — McLean voters will head to the polls Tuesday to choose their U.S. House and Senate representatives, decide whether Fairfax County should borrow $255 million for parks and community facilities, and vote on three proposed…
- Arlington Election Day Guide: County Board, School Board Races And 8 Ballot QuestionsARLINGTON, VA — Arlington County voters will head to the polls Tuesday to choose their representatives in Congress, a County Board member, a School Board member and a county treasurer in the Nov. 3 general election. They will also decide…
- Election Day 2026: Congress Races, Constitutional Amendments On Alexandria BallotALEXANDRIA, VA — Alexandria voters will choose their representatives for the U.S. House and Senate in the Nov. 3 general election and decide on three proposed amendments to the Virginia Constitution. Democratic incumbent Sen. Mark Warner…
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11.57%median
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions