Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
VA-09 House election: Joy Powers vote percent
The odds
32.75%median
22%42%
Median 32.75%Middle half 32.08% – 33.43%
How the odds have moved
Median: 31.92% on Oct 19, 32.75% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 100% | 99¢ | 206 | |||
| At least 26% | 86% | $1.17 | 400 | |||
| At least 28% | 86% | $1.17 | 435 | |||
| At least 30% | 79% | $1.27 | 903 | |||
| At least 32% | 78% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 745 | ||
| At least 34% | 4% | $26.67 | 529 | |||
| At least 36% | 4% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.4K | ||
| At least 38% | 4% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 458 | ||
| At least 40% | 4% | 15¢ | $6.67 | 90.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Joy Powers
Search ›- Republican Rep. Morgan Griffith faces Democrat Joy Powers in Virginia’s 9th District race(WSET) — Republican incumbent Rep. Morgan Griffith is being challenged by Democrat Joy Powers for Virginia’s 9th Congressional District. Griffith has represented the district since 2011 and is seeking another term in Congress. OTHER RACES…
- VA House District 20 Special Election Results: Vasquez Luna vs. Fritzen [Live Updates]PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY, VA —Polls have officially closed across Virginia, and election officials are tabulating ballots cast in Tuesday's general election. Results from races statewide are expected to be reported throughout the evening…
- Virginia Election results for Nov. 4 2026Mark Warner wins his reelection bid against Republican challenger Bert Mizusawa in Virginiaâs Senate race, while Congressman Morgan Griffith bests his Democratic challenger Joy Powers in Virginiaâs 9th District. Virginia Election…
- Morgan Griffith wins reelection in Southwest Virginia's 9th DistrictIn Virginia’s 9th District, incumbent Republican Congressman Morgan Griffith beat Democratic challenger Joy Powers. This deeply red district in Southwest Virginia hasn’t elected a Democrat for the seat in over a decade. In a victory…
- Griffith wins reelection in 9th Congressional DistrictMorgan Griffith thanks supporters during a speech to supporters at the Holiday Inn in Roanoke on Tuesday following his reelection to Virginia’s Ninth Congressional District. While many of his Republican colleagues had a more difficult…
- Results from 2026 general election for races in Bedford and Franklin countiesFollowing the Nov. 3 midterm elections, Democrats will assume full control of Congress after winning both the House and the Senate. House of Representatives, 6th District Incumbent Ben Cline (R-VA) defeated Democratic challenger Beth Macy…
- Tom Perriello concedes 5th District race to Rep. John McGuireThe Democratic challenger and other Virginia officials still want provisional ballots counted. CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA (CVILLE RIGHT NOW) – Democratic nominee Tom Perriello conceded the 5th District Congressional race to Rep. John McGuire on…
- Democrat Rob Sand projected to be Iowa’s next governor, flipping the seatWVVA Democrat Rob Sand projected to be Iowa’s next governor, flipping the seat Midterm election results - three things to know U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer's press gaggle after voting ROAD ALERT: Closure impacting Fincastle Turnpike in…
- Holliday wins second term, second Salem city council seat unclear from official resultsRepublican Hunter Holliday will return for a second term and fill one of two open seats on the Salem city council, based on unofficial election results. News reporter, Roanoke County, Botetourt County and Salem beats Voting took place…
- Tim Brown defeats Robert Page in Montgomery sheriff's raceCHRISTIANSBURG — Tim Brown, a lieutenant with the Christiansburg police, won the race for Montgomery County sheriff Tuesday, defeating Sheriff Robert Page, who has served in an interim capacity since April. Ethan Hunt (540) 381-1678 News…
- Griffith secures ninth term in Virginia’s 9th DistrictRepublican U.S. Rep. Morgan Griffith won reelection to a ninth term in Virginia’s 9th District Tuesday night. He defeated Democrat Joy Powers, a cattle farmer and small business owner from Bedford County. Griffith has represented the 9th…
- Kanipe, Stewart win Radford City Council seats; Gillespie elected mayorRADFORD — Doug Kanipe and Jonathan Stewart won the two open seats on the Radford City Council, according to unofficial election results Tuesday night, while Vice Mayor Seth Gillespie won the mayoral race uncontested. Ethan Hunt (540)…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions