Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
WI-06 House election: Brad Smith vote percent
The odds
42.95%median
36%52%
Median 42.95%Middle half 42.27% – 43.62%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.55% on Oct 19, 42.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 94% | $1.06 | 2.0K | |||
| At least 40% | 94% | $1.06 | 1.2K | |||
| At least 42% | 85% | $1.18 | 650 | |||
| At least 44% | 11% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 200 | ||
| At least 46% | 11% | $9.09 | 440 | |||
| At least 48% | 3% | $33.33 | 220 | |||
| At least 50% | 3% | 17¢ | $5.88 | 988 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WI- House, Brad Smith
Search ›- Montana voters back the "Montana Plan," a direct challenge to corporate election spendingVoters in Montana signed off on Initiative 194, widely dubbed the "Montana Plan," with roughly 65% support. It takes effect Jan. 1 in a state where ballot initiatives can create law, though the Republican-controlled legislature can still…
- Washington Gov. Bob Ferguson orders regulatory reform, pauses new rulemaking for 6 monthsOLYMPIA, Wash. — Gov. Bob Ferguson has signed an executive order aimed at streamlining Washington state regulations, including a six-month pause on new agency rulemaking that would add regulatory requirements. Ferguson signed the order in…
- US House election results: Fitzgerald, Grothman win reelectionIncumbent District 6 Representative Republican Glenn Grothman has also won reelection. Dodge County selected Grothman with 8,577 (59.12%) ballots compared to 5,378 (37.07%) for Democrat Brad Smith. Others receiving votes were Wisconsin…
- Millionaires Tax now goes to the courts after apparent repeal failureSEATTLE — The Millionaires Tax has likely survived its first challenge, but a court date awaits. I-645 appears to have failed, based on early returns, after a lengthy legislative process and expensive attempt to overturn it. PREVIOUS…
- Grothman re-elected as 6th Congressional District representative(WTAQ-WLUK) — Republican U.S. Rep. Glenn Grothman defeated Democrat challenger Brad Smith to continue serving as Wisconsin’s representative from the 6th Congressional District. Grothman, 71, will begin his seventh term this January. He…
- 2026 Election ResultsNov 3: It was a huge night for Lake County when voters showed-up in force to have their choices counted for several local closely watched contentious seats in the 2026 mid-term elections. Voters were asked to choose mayoral candidates…
- Wisconsin’s House delegation now evenly split after Democrats flip 2 seatsDemocrats flipped the 1st and 3rd districts as part of a national blue wave in the 2026 midterms Wisconsin’s congressional delegation will be split 4-4 next year after Democrats flipped two U.S. House seats. The last time the state’s…
- Grothman, Smith battle to be Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District representativeKey races include Wisconsin governor, 6th Congressional District and 8th Congressional District. (WLUK) -- Republican U.S. Rep. Glenn Grothman is looking to fend off Democrat challenger Brad Smith as Wisconsin's representative from the 6th…
- Ripon voters approve school referendum; Markesan rejectsRipon Area School District voters approved a referendum Tuesday authorizing the district to exceed state revenue limits by $500,000 for the 2027-28 school year and $1.35 million annually for the following five years. The measure passed…
- Fond du Lac County sees 74% voter turnout in November electionMore than 44,000 ballots were cast in Fond du Lac County during Tuesday’s November 3rd general election, with voter turnout reaching approximately 74%. All 59 precincts reported results, according to the county’s Election Summary Report…
- Big Tech faces a political reckoning in OhioA victory for Sherrod Brown in Ohio's competitive Senate race could embolden politicians in both parties to take on the tech industry. 11/02/2026 4:46 AM EST A Silicon Valley nightmare could be brewing in Ohio. Some of the biggest names in…
- Winnebago County election results for Nov. 3, 2026(Refresh this page to view the latest results.) OSHKOSH – Winnebago County voters will choose candidates for statewide, congressional and state legislative offices in today's general election. Polls are open until 8 p.m. Results will be…
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions