Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Arkansas Senate election: Tom Cotton vote percent
The odds
54.99%median
46%70%
Median 54.99%Middle half 54.46% – 55.52%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56% on Oct 19, 54.99% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 97% | $1.03 | 1.1K | |||
| At least 50% | 97% | $1.03 | 318 | |||
| At least 52% | 97% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 768 | ||
| At least 54% | 97% | ▲ 10 | 10¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.0K |
| At least 56% | 2% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 2.8K | ||
| At least 58% | 2% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 496 | ||
| At least 60% | 2% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 212 | ||
| At least 62% | 2% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 300 | ||
| At least 64% | 2% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 713 | ||
| At least 66% | 2% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 12.00 | ||
| At least 68% | 2% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 65.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arkansas Senate, Tom Cotton
Search ›- Hallie Shoffner Outraises Tom Cotton Nearly Threefold in Third Quarter FundraisingHome » Trending » Hallie Shoffner Outraises Tom Cotton Nearly Threefold in Third Quarter Fundraising In a significant turn of events in the competitive race for the U.S. Senate seat, Democratic candidate Hallie Shoffner has outperformed…
- In Arkansas, Democrats see an opening at the edge of the competitive midterms mapArkansas Democratic Senate nominee Hallie Shoffner speaks with voters at a campaign stop in Hope, Ark. Friday, Oct. 23, 2026. Stephen Fowler/NPR hide caption HOPE, Ark. — For Senate candidate Hallie Shoffner, the most important political…
- In Arkansas’ US Senate race, rivals paint Cotton as not focused on the stateRepublican U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton faces challenges from Democrat Hallie Shoffner and Libertarian Jeff Wadlin in his bid for reelection. (Courtesy of the Arkansas Secretary of State's office) Twelve years after he was elected in one of the…
- In race for Pulaski County-based Senate District 13, Republican Achor outraises Democrat Sweatman by 9-to-1Arkansas Senate candidate Rep. Brandon Achor, R-Maumelle, has raised more than nine times the amount of contributions compared to his opponent, Democratic candidate Allison Sweatman of North Little Rock, financial records show. In race for…
- Senators, rights groups say Trump administration breaking law by withholding surveillance court opinionGet our latest cybersecurity news first on Google. The Trump administration is breaking the law after being more than a month overdue on declassifying a court opinion on the surveillance of U.S. citizens, according to two senators and a…
- Senators Say Trump Admin Is Illegally Sitting On Secret Court Ruling About Warrantless SpyingZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero Democrat Senators Ron Wyden and Adam Schiff say the Trump administration is illegally withholding a secret surveillance-court ruling that faulted how…
- THE SHELL LEAKS FILES — 24 OCTOBER 2026On 5 August 2020, three members of the United States Senate signed a letter addressed to two executives of a German port company. The recipients were Harm Sievers and Fridjof Ostenberg of Fährhafen Sassnitz GmbH. The company operated…
- Columbia County residents can vote through 4 p.m. Saturday at County AnnexAn additional 351 people cast ballots in Columbia County on Friday, October 23, 2026, raising the early voting total to 1,722. Early voting is available from 10 a.m. to 4 p.m. Saturday at the Columbia County Annex, 101 Boundary Street in…
- More than 1,300 Columbia County voters have cast ballotsA total of 1,371 people have already cast ballots in Columbia County through the first four days of early voting in the Tuesday, November 3, 2026 general election. County Clerk Tammy J. Wiltz reported that 330 people voted on Thursday…
- Daylight saving time: Clocks 'fall back' just days from nowWASHINGTON — You'll get an extra hour to sleep off the Halloween fun this year (unless you have young children), as most Americans across the country "fall back" to standard time for daylight saving time. The biannual clock change will…
- Arkansas Dem Senate Candidate Says Requiring Proof of Citizenship To Vote 'Disenfranchises 22 Million Americans'Democrat Hallie Shoffner, running for Senate in Arkansas against incumbent Republican Tom Cotton, argued that requiring "proof of citizenship" to vote "disenfranchises 22 million Americans." She said the SAVE Act, the proposed federal…
- A national Democratic wave, with a possible exception in New EnglandThe story of the midterm elections over the past few months has been how Democrats are going on the offense in deep Republican territory. Kansas might elect its first Democrat to the Senate since 1932. Mississippi might do the same for the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions