Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Idaho Senate election: Natalie Fleming vote percent
The odds
6.56%median
0%8%
Median 6.56%Middle half 6.27% – 6.85%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.77% on Oct 20, 6.56% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 100% | 99¢ | 1.5K | |||
| At least 2% | 100% | 99¢ | 1.5K | |||
| At least 3% | 100% | 99¢ | 411 | |||
| At least 4% | 98% | ▼ 4 | 92¢ | $1.02 | 720 | |
| At least 5% | 98% | 99¢ | $1.02 | 1.3K | ||
| At least 6% | 98% | 89¢ | $1.02 | 832 | ||
| At least 7% | 12% | 3¢ | $8.33 | 1.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Idaho Senate, Natalie Fleming
Search ›- Jim Risch re-elected to Idaho SenateFor some young Africans, these victories offer a glimpse of what a new generation of voters could do at home. The US vice-president was commenting for the first time since Republicans lost control of Congress - Donald Trump has also…
- Idaho 2026 election resultsCNN Idaho 2026 election results Live results: Idaho Senate Follow live results in the Idaho Senate race, county by county, as votes are counted on election night. Senate results by county Live results: Idaho Governor Follow live results in…
- Idaho US Senator Jim Risch to serve another termKBOI Republican Jim Risch will continue to represent Idaho in the U.S Senate after winning his reelection campaign Risch faced competition from Independent Todd Achilles, independent Natalie Fleming, and Libertarian Matt Loesby The…
- Idaho Republican US Sen. Jim Risch retains seat against independent challenger Todd AchillesThe AP called the elections for Idaho’s Congressional District 1 at 9:43 p.m. Tuesday for incumbent U.S. Rep. Russ Fulcher. Idaho election officials were still counting ballots late into the night Tuesday. Idaho’s election results do not…
- Risch holds off Achilles, elected to fourth term in U.S. SenateU.S. Sen. Jim Risch was elected to his fourth six-year term on Tuesday. He emerged victorious in a race characterized by concerns around affordability and international conflict as well as a higher-profile challenger in Todd Achilles, who…
- Risch retains seat against independent challenger AchillesThe AP called the elections for Idaho’s Congressional District 1 at 9:43 p.m. Tuesday for incumbent U.S. Rep. Russ Fulcher. Idaho election officials were still counting ballots late into the night Tuesday. Idaho’s election results do not…
- LIVE ELECTION RESULTSValley Shepherd Church of the Nazarene serves as a polling place in Meridian on Election Day, Nov. 3, 2026. This page will be updated throughout the night with election results from statewide races, and those in Ada and Canyon counties…
- U.S. Midterm Elections in PicturesVoters, polling stations and election workers in pictures from across America. Natalie Fleming, a resident of Portland, Oregon, holds her 3-month-old baby, Danny, as she votes at a polling station. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque A sign at a…
- Opinion: We need to restoring sustainable reimbursement rates for healthcare providersIdaho is built on faith and strong neighbor-helping-neighbor communities. We have repeatedly been taught to look after the vulnerable. True stewardship isn't just about cutting expenses; it is about ensuring that our poor, sick, and…
- Idaho Rep. Russ Fulcher holds large lead on election nightBOISE, Idaho - Idaho voters want incumbent Rep. Russ Fulcher to serve a fifth term in Congress. Local news coverage from KXLY+ Spokane County Fire District 3 proposition 1 Spokane County Fire District 9 Proposition one and two BOISE, Idaho…
- Suspense grows as Democrats flip first congressional seat in early midterm resultsNatalie Fleming of Portland, holding her 3-month-old baby Danny, votes at a polling station during the US midterm elections on Election Day in Portland, Maine, US, November 3, 2026. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY Democrats…
- Democrats Flip Two Seats in West Boise Swing District, Leading in Two OthersOriginally published by Idaho Education News | November 3, 2026 Voters in west Boise on Tuesday elected Democrat Nancy Gregory to the Idaho Senate and Democrat Jae Etchart to the House, flipping two seats in District 15, a key swing…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions