Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Kansas Senate election: Adam Hamilton vote percent
The odds
50.98%median
36%54%
Median 50.98%Middle half 50.46% – 51.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.24% on Oct 19, 50.98% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 99% | 80¢ | $1.01 | 6.1K | ||
| At least 40% | 99% | 85¢ | $1.01 | 3.5K | ||
| At least 42% | 99% | 85¢ | $1.01 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 44% | 99% | 85¢ | $1.01 | 2.2K | ||
| At least 46% | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 2.9K | ||
| At least 48% | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 1.4K | ||
| At least 50% | 97% | 63¢ | $1.03 | 1.7K | ||
| At least 52% | 1% | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kansas Senate, Adam Hamilton
Search ›- Adam Hamilton will flip deep-red Kansas Senate seat, ending a 94-year Democratic droughtCNN Adam Hamilton will flip deep-red Kansas Senate seat, ending a 94-year Democratic drought Democrat Adam Hamilton will flip the Kansas Senate seat, ending a 94-year Democratic drought, CNN projects. It's a seismic defeat of Republican…
- Democrat Adam Hamilton pulls off upset in Kansas Senate raceNews Channel 5 Nashville Democrat Adam Hamilton pulls off upset in Kansas Senate race
- Adam Hamilton flips Kansas Senate seat blue for first time in 94 years | CNN PoliticsDemocrat Adam Hamilton’s Senate win represents a seismic defeat of Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in a deep-red state, where Democrats make up just a quarter of voters. Hamilton says economic pain and anger in Washington helped drive his…
- Adam Hamilton to Remain Senior Pastor after Historic Kansas Senate VictoryKansas megachurch Pastor Adam Hamilton says he will continue serving as lead pastor of his church despite being elected as the first elected to the U.S. Senate to represent Kansas in nearly a century. A representative of Church of the…
- Adam Hamilton Beats Roger Marshall, Creating Earthquake in KansasNov 03, 2026 at 11:18 PM EST Nov 03, 2026 at 11:19 PM EST Adam Hamilton pulled off a political earthquake in the Kansas' Senate race, defeating Republican incumbent Roger Marshall to give Democrats their first Senate victory in the state…
- Adam Hamilton is the first Democrat since 1932 to win a U.S. Senate seat in KansasNPR Adam Hamilton is the first Democrat since 1932 to win a U.S. Senate seat in Kansas NPR's Steve Inskeep speaks with Adam Hamilton, a pastor who became the first Democrat in nearly a century to win a U.S. Senate seat in Kansas. NPR does…
- OPINION: Adam Hamilton may not be the perfect Democrat, but he's perfect for KansasThe op-ed below does not necessarily reflect the views of the University Daily Kansan and its members. “He doesn’t sound like a typical Democrat.” My boyfriend recently said this after I sent him a podcast interview of Adam Hamilton, and…
- Kalshi projects Adam Hamilton wins Kansas Senate raceThe Democrat climbed from 17% in early September to overtake Marshall on Kalshi in the final week, reaching 72% on Election Day. Kalshi projects Adam Hamilton (D) will win the 2026 Kansas Senate race, defeating Roger Marshall (R). Traders…
- Adam Hamilton becomes the first Democratic senator from Kansas in nearly a centuryMidterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected: NPR Politics Podcast | NPR Politics newsletter | NPR app Kansans are sending Democrat Adam Hamilton to the U.S. Senate, the first time they've sent…
- Adam Hamilton wins Kansas 2026 Senate election, CBS News projects, flipping seat for DemocratsNovember 3, 2026 / 11:25 PM EST / CBS News Washington — Democratic Reverend Adam Hamilton defeated GOP Sen. Roger Marshall in the Kansas Senate race, CBS News projects, unseating the incumbent in a major upset that comes as the state…
- Adam Hamilton says he wants to spend his time in Senate "helping the people in Kansas"CBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Adam Hamilton on…
Related markets
All senate ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions