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Kansas Senate election: Roger Marshall vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.44% on Oct 19, 45.13% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 94% | 75¢ | $1.06 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 46% | 16% | 80¢ | $1.25 | 461 | ||
| At least 48% | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 49% | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.3K | |
| At least 50% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.2K | ||
| At least 52% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.9K | ||
| At least 54% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.4K | ||
| At least 56% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 58% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 60% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 62% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kansas Senate, Roger Marshall
Search ›- Sen Roger Marshall pushes back on opponent's attacks: 'Couldn't have been further from the truth'Fox News Sen Roger Marshall pushes back on opponent's attacks: 'Couldn't have been further from the truth' Sen. Roger Marshall, R-Kan., discusses polling showing a tightening Kansas U.S. Senate race and defends his record against attacks…
- Fox News Power Rankings show Kansas Senate race leaning GOPFox News Fox News Power Rankings show Kansas Senate race leaning GOP Sen. Roger Marshall, R-Kan., joins ‘Saturday in America’ to discuss the tight Kansas Senate race, President Donald Trump’s upcoming rally and past remarks from Democratic…
- November 3, 2026 Election Results: Kansas US Senate race | Rep. Roger Marshall vs. Adam HamiltonAll results | All Kansas results | Kansas Governor | Kansas US House | Kansas District 2 | Kansas District 3 | Kansas AG | Kansas Executive races The battle for the U.S. Senate seat in Kansas between Sen. Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam…
- Hamilton Leads Marshall in Kansas Senate RaceA new Survey 160 poll in Kansas finds Adam Hamilton (D) leading Roger Marshall (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 44%. Kansas Senate Race Adam Hamilton (D) 50% Roger Marshall (R) 44% Survey 160 poll · likely voters · ±3.6% A new Survey…
- Adam Hamilton Ahead in Kansas Senate RaceA new AtlasIntel poll in Kansas finds Adam Hamilton (D) leading Roger Marshall (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 52% to 45%. Kansas Senate Race Adam Hamilton (D) 52% Roger Marshall (R) 45% AtlasIntel poll · likely voters · ±2% A new AtlasIntel…
- Live Results: Kansas Senate midterm electionWATCH LIVE: Election night 2026 PBS News special coverage In the battle between Democrats and Republicans for Senate control, the reliably red state of Kansas has moved from the edges to the center of the map. Stand with free and…
- Roger MarshallCongressional Public Lands Score / Kansas / Roger Marshall Republican · U.S. Senate · Kansas Scored under 60%. Seat on the 2026 ballot. Sen. Roger Marshall, a Republican from Kansas, earns an F on the Congressional Public Lands Score. Of…
- Live results: Roger Marshall, Adam Hamilton in high-stakes Senate raceKansas voters have the opportunity to make history on Nov. 3 by electing a Democrat to the U.S. Senate — or they could continue a nearly century-long winning streak for Republicans. Republican incumbent U.S. Sen. Roger Marshall faces a…
- Kansas Senate odds: Hamilton has a 62% chance to be the state's first Democratic senator since 1932A Democrat hasn’t won a Kansas Senate seat in 94 years. Democrat Adam Hamilton has widened his lead over Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in Kalshi's Kansas Senate market as the candidates make their final appeals before Election Day…
- Kansas Democrats hope Adam Hamilton can harness Trump fatigue to oust Republican Sen. Roger MarshallDover schools participated in Red Ribbon Week this week, joining schools across the nation in raising awareness of the dangers of drug abuse and encouraging students to make healthy choices. Read moreDover schools encourage healthy choices…
- Roger Marshall’s Closing Message Is a Reminder He Sued Poor Women over Medical DebtRoger Marshall gets on stage and says, “Glory, glory, hallelujah. God made Trump!” — Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) November 1, 2026 at 10:40 PM Pretty strong closing argument ad from Roger Marshall blaming his collection agency for having his…
- Kansas State Winner Prediction for US Midterm Elections 2026: Roger Marshall vs Adam Hamilton; Who Is in the Race? Check Key CandidatesKansas voters are heading to the polls on November 3, 2026, for a closely watched US Senate contest, alongside a major gubernatorial race and elections for state and congressional offices. The Senate contest features incumbent Republican…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions