Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
45.01%median
38%58%
Median 45.01%Middle half 44.48% – 45.54%
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.17% on Oct 20, 45.01% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 99% | 85¢ | $1.01 | 1.3K | ||
| At least 42% | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 1.8K | ||
| At least 44% | 98% | ▲ 5 | 75¢ | $1.02 | 3.4K | |
| At least 46% | 3% | 2¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 2.1K | |
| At least 48% | 3% | 49¢ | $2.04 | 2.2K | ||
| At least 50% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.7K | ||
| At least 52% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 10.8K | ||
| At least 54% | 1% | 17¢ | $5.88 | 1.6K | ||
| At least 56% | 1% | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine Senate, Susan Collins
Search ›- Democrat Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Republican Susan CollinsNPR Democrat Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Republican Susan Collins Democrat Troy Jackson defeated Republican incumbent Susan Collins for U.S. Senate in Maine, a crucial flip for Democrats.
- Susan Collins Concedes in Maine Senate raceNBC News Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projects President Trump speaks to various media outlets reacting to midterm results Rep. Debbie Dingell: If Democrats don't deliver, voters will send another message in two years…
- Troy Jackson topples Republican Susan Collins in Maine Senate race | CNN PoliticsDemocrat Troy Jackson defeated five-term Republican Sen. Susan Collins in Maine, despite only becoming his party's nominee in July. House Speaker Mike Johnson alluded to the challenging political headwinds the party in power typically…
- Susan Collins' Maine Senate office vandalized with 'disturbing' graffiti on night before Election DayProtesters swarmed Senator Susan Collins’ office and entered through the front doors, chanting "vote her out, The Biddeford, Maine, office of Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, was vandalized Monday night for the second time in a month, Collins'…
- Sen. Susan Collins Says Voters Ignore Her Breaks With Donald Trump After 'Tsunami' Costs Her Maine Senate SeatIn the wake of her Maine Senate seat going to a Democrat in the midterm landslide, Susan Collins has taken aim at Republican voters and defended her record in the Senate. Collins claimed she stood up to Trump. BY: MEGA In an interview with…
- Looking into how Troy Jackson was able to unseat Sen. Susan Collins in Maine's Senate raceU.S. Sen.-elect Troy Jackson (D-Maine) did something that no one has been able to do in more than 30 years: defeat Republican Sen. Susan Collins in a statewide election. In 1994, Collins won the Republican primary for Maine governor, but…
- Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Susan Collins, in major coup for DemocratsTroy Jackson speaks at the Bangor Cross Insurance Center on July 24, 2026 in Bangor, Maine. Ashley L. Conti for NPR hide caption Midterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected: NPR Politics…
- How Troy Jackson toppled Susan Collins in Maine Senate racePORTLAND, Maine — One symbol for how unlikely Troy Jackson’s victory over Susan Collins once seemed is the very room where he celebrated his triumph on Tuesday night. Just months ago, the Holiday Inn ballroom in downtown Portland hosted a…
- Maine Senate Race — Troy Jackson Defeats Susan CollinsDecision Desk HQ projects that Maine Democrat replacement nominee Troy Jackson is the winner in the Maine Senate race, flipping the seat that has been held for nearly 30 years by Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who has defied the odds in…
- Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projectsDemocrat Troy Jackson has defeated five-term incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins in the race for Senate in Maine, NBC News projects. NBC News' Steve Kornacki breaks down how the results in Bangor, Maine, benefited Jackson. El-Sayed…
- Susan Collins’s loss in Maine is a loss for the countryBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. She resisted partisan…
- Susan Collins Concedes As Maine Senate Seat FlipsRepublicans have suffered a major Senate setback, with a longtime incumbent conceding after an opponent’s campaign overcame controversy and upheaval. The result removes an influential committee chair and hands Democrats a pickup in a state…
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All senate ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions