Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Maine Senate election: Troy Jackson vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
53.1%median
38%62%
Median 53.1%Middle half 52.53% – 53.66%
How the odds have moved
Median: 51.38% on Oct 20, 53.1% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 99% | 97¢ | $1.01 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 42% | 99% | 77¢ | $1.01 | 1.8K | ||
| At least 44% | 99% | 77¢ | $1.01 | 3.7K | ||
| At least 46% | 99% | 75¢ | $1.01 | 3.0K | ||
| At least 48% | 99% | 74¢ | $1.01 | 14.4K | ||
| At least 50% | 99% | ▲ 23 | 76¢ | $1.02 | 6.1K | |
| At least 52% | 99% | 61¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.7K | |
| At least 54% | 10% | 49¢ | $2.04 | 1.6K | ||
| At least 56% | 1% | 17¢ | $5.88 | 1.6K | ||
| At least 58% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 60% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine Senate, Troy Jackson
Search ›- Democrat Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Republican Susan CollinsNPR Democrat Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Republican Susan Collins Democrat Troy Jackson defeated Republican incumbent Susan Collins for U.S. Senate in Maine, a crucial flip for Democrats.
- Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projectsDemocrat Troy Jackson has defeated five-term incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins in the race for Senate in Maine, NBC News projects. NBC News' Steve Kornacki breaks down how the results in Bangor, Maine, benefited Jackson. El-Sayed…
- Troy Jackson topples Republican Susan Collins in Maine Senate race | CNN PoliticsDemocrat Troy Jackson defeated five-term Republican Sen. Susan Collins in Maine, despite only becoming his party's nominee in July. House Speaker Mike Johnson alluded to the challenging political headwinds the party in power typically…
- Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Susan Collins, in major coup for DemocratsTroy Jackson speaks at the Bangor Cross Insurance Center on July 24, 2026 in Bangor, Maine. Ashley L. Conti for NPR hide caption Midterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected: NPR Politics…
- Susan Collins Concedes in Maine Senate raceNBC News Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projects President Trump speaks to various media outlets reacting to midterm results Rep. Debbie Dingell: If Democrats don't deliver, voters will send another message in two years…
- Maine Senate Race — Troy Jackson Defeats Susan CollinsDecision Desk HQ projects that Maine Democrat replacement nominee Troy Jackson is the winner in the Maine Senate race, flipping the seat that has been held for nearly 30 years by Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who has defied the odds in…
- How Troy Jackson toppled Susan Collins in Maine Senate racePORTLAND, Maine — One symbol for how unlikely Troy Jackson’s victory over Susan Collins once seemed is the very room where he celebrated his triumph on Tuesday night. Just months ago, the Holiday Inn ballroom in downtown Portland hosted a…
- Troy Jackson promises to show up for Maine constituents in victory speech | CNN PoliticsDemocrat Troy Jackson promised to represent all of the state’s constituents in Congress after he was projected to win the Maine Senate race. Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed addressed supporters before the race had officially been called…
- Full Speech: Troy Jackson defeats GOP Sen. Susan Collins in MaineDemocrat Troy Jackson addresses supporters after his projected win over longtime Republican Sen. Susan Collins in Maine. Full Speech: Troy Jackson defeats GOP Sen. Susan Collins in Maine El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate seat, NBC News…
- Troy Jackson gives victory speech in Maine Senate RaceWABI Troy Jackson gives victory speech in Maine Senate Race Sen. Susan Collins has conceded the Maine U.S. Senate race to Troy Jackson Chellie Pingree wins reelection to U.S. House in Maine's 1st Congressional District
- Democrat enthusiasm high after Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate raceweareiowa.com Democrat enthusiasm high after Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race To stream WeAreIowa on your phone, you need the WeAreIowa app. Download the WeAreIowa app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before…
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All senate ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
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Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions