Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Minnesota Senate election: Michele Tafoya vote percent
The odds
43%median
36%54%
Median 43%Middle half 42.48% – 43.51%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.35% on Oct 20, 43% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 99% | 97¢ | $1.01 | 2.4K | ||
| At least 40% | 99% | 85¢ | $1.01 | 5.1K | ||
| At least 42% | 99% | 97¢ | $1.02 | 460 | ||
| At least 44% | 1% | 49¢ | $2.04 | 2.8K | ||
| At least 46% | 1% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | $33.33 | 11.0K | |
| At least 48% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.3K | ||
| At least 50% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.3K | ||
| At least 52% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Minnesota Senate, Michele Tafoya
Search ›- Peggy Flanagan wins Minnesota Senate race over Michele TafoyaDemocrat Peggy Flanagan won Minnesota’s US Senate race Tuesday, defeating Republican Michele Tafoya in a closely watched midterm contest for the seat held by retiring Sen. Tina Smith. Flanagan, Minnesota’s lieutenant governor, will become…
- Michele Tafoya Loses Senate Race Amid Nationwide Democratic RoutFormer NFL sideline reporter Michele Tafoya was defeated in her bid for Minnesota's Senate seat, losing comfortably to Lt. Gov Peggy Flanagan as Democrats swept nationwide. Tafoya, the Republican nominee, trailed Flanagan by roughly 10…
- Former sports broadcaster Michele Tafoya loses to Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota race for U.S. SenatorRepublican U.S. Senate candidate Michele Tafoya speaks during a campaign event with local mothers on Oct. 27 in White Bear Lake, Minn. Credit: AP/Ellen Schmidt Michele Tafoya, the former sideline reporter for Sunday Night Football on NBC…
- Steve Jacob to move chambers with win of Minnesota Senate District 20 seatALTURA, Minn. (KTTC) – Republican state Rep. Steve Jacob will move to the Minnesota Senate after winning Senate District 20 with 57% of the vote. Jacob defeated DFLer Jason Lohmann. The district covers parts of Dakota, Goodhue, Olmsted…
- Michele Tafoya concedes to Democratic opponent Peggy FlanaganFox News Michele Tafoya concedes to Democratic opponent Peggy Flanagan Republican Senate candidate Michele Tafoya spoke briefly, offering an uplifting message, after conceding to Democrat Peggy Flanagan.
- Michele Tafoya supporter 'hopefully optimistic' after campaigning for candidateFox News Michele Tafoya supporter 'hopefully optimistic' after campaigning for candidate A supporter who worked on Michele Tafoya's U.S. Senate campaign said he was surprised by the amount of support she had in normally deep blue Minnesota.
- Michele Tafoya loses Minnesota Senate electionMichele Tafoya won multiple Sports Emmy awards during her time as a sports reporter for NBC, ABC/ESPN, and CBS, but she did not win the Minnesota Senate race. Tafoya lost to Democratic candidate Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and called Flanagan…
- Rochester teacher Simon Glaser flips Minnesota Senate District 24 seatROCHESTER, Minn. (KTTC) – Simon Glaser, a Rochester Public Schools teacher and political newcomer, won Minnesota’s Senate District 24 seat, flipping it for the first time since 2010. Glaser, a member of the DFL, received 51% of the vote…
- Democrat Peggy Flanagan Beats Republican Michele Tafoya for Minnesota Senate SeatDemocrat Peggy Flanagan, the lieutenant governor of Minnesota, has beaten Republican media personality Michele Tafoya for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. The race was called for Flanagan by NBC News a few hours after polls closed on…
- Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan holds a Minnesota Senate seat for DemocratsLt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan defeated Republican Michele Tafoya in the Minnesota Senate race, NBC News projects, keeping the seat in Democrats’ column. Flanagan will become the first Native American woman to be elected to the Senate. Democrat…
- Michele Tafoya Falls Short As Far-Left Democrat Peggy Flanagan Wins Minnesota Senate RaceThe battle for Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat has come to an end, with Democrat Peggy Flanagan defeating Republican Michele Tafoya Tuesday in a race that pitted a former national sports broadcaster against one of the state's most…
- Peggy Flanagan vs. Michele Tafoya—What Final Minnesota Polls ShowNov 03, 2026 at 05:00 AM EST Nov 03, 2026 at 05:18 AM EST The final polls in Minnesota's U.S. Senate race show Democrat Peggy Flanagan ahead of Republican Michele Tafoya, heading into Election Day. Flanagan is Minnesota's lieutenant…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions