Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
South Dakota Senate election: Brian Bengs vote percent
The odds
38.93%median
32%50%
Median 38.93%Middle half 38.36% – 39.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.36% on Oct 19, 38.93% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 25.00 | ||
| At least 36% | 98% | $1.02 | 524 | |||
| At least 38% | 91% | $1.10 | 885 | |||
| At least 40% | 3% | $33.33 | 1.0K | |||
| At least 42% | 2% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 1.3K | ||
| At least 44% | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 4.1K | ||
| At least 46% | 2% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.0K | ||
| At least 48% | 2% | 14¢ | $7.14 | 579 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Dakota Senate, Brian Bengs
Search ›- Former Tea Party leader backs Bengs in Senate race; Calls campaign 'front wave' of independent movementThe former president of FreedomWorks — a group that helped propel the tea party to national prominence and has since dissolved — is backing South Dakota’s independent candidate for the Senate. Adam Brandon is now at the Independent Center…
- Mike Rounds Headed for Easy Win in South DakotaA new News Watch and the Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota/Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategy poll in South Dakota finds Mike Rounds (R) leading Brian Bengs (I) in the U.S. Senate race, 56% to 37%. South Dakota…
- Alaska's Election Results Take Weeks. Ranked Choice Voting Isn't WhyThe state should only be in the business of announcing official results, says IPI. Media and analysts can use preliminary CVR – but with a caveat such as: “If this candidate is eliminated, most of those ballots are likely to move to that…
- Bengs Brings His US Senate Campaign To Yankton, Vermillion MondaySouth Dakota independent U.S. Senate candidate Brian Bengs speaks at a town hall meeting held at the Yankton Community Library Monday afternoon. Bengs also did a town hall event in Vermillion. Brian Bengs says he is running for a U.S…
- I'm independent Brian Bengs. This is why I want South Dakota's vote for SenateIâm running to put South Dakota first, and to work with anyone, whatever their politics, when itâs in the interest of our state. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc. via Getty Images) More than at any time in my life, I believe our…
- Mike Rounds Leads in South Dakota Senate RaceA new KELOLAND News/Emerson College poll in South Dakota finds Mike Rounds (R) leading Brian Bengs (I) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 42%. Try Political Wire free for 60 days Members get Talking Points analysis, Trending News, the Polling…
- Think the Election Was Stolen? A Recount Probably Won't Prove It"This report shows that US election results are accurate and trustworthy. In nearly 7,500 elections over 25 years, recounts have changed the outcome just three times," Ben Williams, senior policy counsel and researcher at FairVote. With…
- Money flows to South Dakota US Senate race as independent challenges Republican incumbentMoney is pouring into South Dakota's U.S. Senate race as people and groups across the country sense a rare chance to support a potentially competitive challenger against a Republican incumbent. In a race with no Democratic candidate, about…
- Mike Rounds Appears Safe in South Dakota Senate RaceA new Quantus Insights poll in South Dakota finds Mike Rounds (R) leading Brian Bengs (I) in the U.S. Senate race, 57% to 36%. South Dakota Senate Race Mike Rounds (R) 57% Brian Bengs (I) 36% Quantus Insights poll · likely voters · ±4.1% A…
- Independent US Senate candidate in South Dakota backed by Forward PartySIOUX FALLS — South Dakota's independent U.S. Senate candidate, Brian Bengs, said Sunday he "would probably not be here in a competitive position today" without the support he's gotten from a new political party co-founded by a former…
- Poll: Sen. Rounds leads challenger Bengs 56-37%(South Dakota News Watch) - Republican Sen. Mike Rounds leads Independent challenger Brian Bengs 56% to 37%, according to the latest South Dakota Poll sponsored by News Watch and the Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South…
- South Dakota election polls reaching drastically different conclusionsSIOUX FALLS, S.D. (Dakota News Now) - Election Day is right around the corner, with many key seats up for grabs. The races are heating up, and candidates are keeping score. However, polling is proving to be complicated with very different…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions