Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Texas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent
The odds
1.36%median
0%7%
Median 1.36%Middle half 1% – 1.72%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.06% on Oct 20, 1.36% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 75% | ▼ 24 | 76¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 8.5K |
| At least 2% | 6% | 59¢ | $1.69 | 5.5K | ||
| At least 3% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 11.7K | ||
| At least 4% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.9K | ||
| At least 5% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.7K | ||
| At least 6% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas Senate, Ted Brown
Search ›- James Talarico on flipping Texas Senate seat in race against Ken PaxtonCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. James Talarico on…
- James Talarico wins Texas Senate seat: "We just took back Texas"CBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. James Talarico wins Texas…
- Talarico wins Texas Senate seat, NBC News projectsNBC News El-Sayed wins Michigan Senate seat, NBC News projects Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projects President Trump speaks to various media outlets reacting to midterm results Rep. Debbie Dingell: If Democrats don't…
- Democrat James Talarico wins Texas Senate seatTexas Senate candidate James Talarico addresses supporters on primary election night in Austin, Texas. Mark Felix/AFP via Getty Images hide caption Midterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected…
- Full speech: James Talarico projected winner in Texas Senate raceNBC News Texas Governor Greg Abbott concedes his reelection bid Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projects President Trump speaks to various media outlets reacting to midterm results Full speech: James Talarico projected winner…
- Talarico says his Texas Senate win sends message to Elon Musk: "Texas is not for sale"Updated on: November 4, 2026 / 9:33 AM EST / CBS News Washington — Democrat James Talarico on Wednesday said his win over Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race delivered a message to Elon Musk, who spent more than…
- James Talarico calls for unity in victory speech after winning Texas Senate raceFox News James Talarico calls for unity in victory speech after winning Texas Senate race Democrat James Talarico delivers a victory speech calling for unity after winning Texas' U.S. Senate race. The newly elected senator pledges to…
- Cheers erupt at Talarico headquarters as he is projected to win Texas Senate raceCNN Cheers erupt at Talarico headquarters as he is projected to win Texas Senate race Supporters at James Talarico’s campaign headquarters in Austin, Texas, roared and cheered as they watched CNN project the Democratic Senate nominee as…
- CNN Projection: Talarico Will Win Texas Senate Race - Laura Coates Live - Podcast on CNN PodcastsCNN Laura Coates sparks unique conversations and covers the most interesting stories of the day through a news, legal and pop culture lens. Back to episodes list Continuing Midterm Election coverage with Anderson Cooper and Jake Tapper.
- Trump's gamble on Ken Paxton backfires as Democrat pulls off historic Texas Senate upsetDemocrats just made history in Texas. President Donald Trump’s gamble on Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, a strong ally of the president’s, backfired on him after Texas state Rep. James Talarico pulled off an upset to score Democrats…
- Analyzing Alaska, Texas Senate racesAlaska's Senate race garnered attention with Democrat Mary Peltola and two Dan Sullivans on the ballot. In typically red Texas, Republican Ken Paxton faces off against Democrat James Talarico. CBS News' Fin Gómez has more. Analyzing…
- Texas Senate victor James Talarico lays out common ground with Trump, vows to 'work together'Texas Senator-elect James Talarico joins 'America's Newsroom' to outline his plans to work across the aisle, expressing support for President Trump's efforts on border security and highlighting the need for comprehensive housing solutions…
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All senate ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions