Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1%chance
Install
Plague pandemic in 2026?
The odds
1%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 2% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $66.67 | $521K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: outbreak, pandemic, Plague
Search ›- Denton Guyer Valedictorian, All-State RB Kaedric Cobbs Staying Positive During PandemicApril 28, 2020 / 1:25 PM CDT / CBS Texas DENTON, Texas (CBSDFW.COM) - After leading Denton Guyer to the 5A state title game this past season, senior all-state running back Kaedric Cobbs is looking forward to a promising career at…
- Inside the ‘decades of neglect’ plaguing US military barracksFox News Inside the ‘decades of neglect’ plaguing US military barracks Medal of Honor recipient Dakota Meyer details troops living with mold, no hot water and broken AC as he takes on Hegseth’s push to fix military housing.
- Friday Cheese Curds: Packers are plagued by missed opportunitiesThe Green Bay Packers don't appear to have a problem finding open receivers. Receivers catching the ball, however, is unfortunately a problem. We've seen the stat six hundred times already, but here it is once more for posterity: Through…
- Measles outbreak continues to grow; deaths reported in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, New York this weekCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Measles…
- Human bird flu infection confirmed in India amid concern over avian flu outbreaks in U.S. farm animalsJune 12, 2024 / 10:29 AM EDT / CBS News India's first human avian flu case was confirmed in 2019. The cases in India involve a different bird flu virus than the one infecting animals and several people in the U.S., where it is the H5N1…
- AMC CEO says movie theater giant has finally 'recovered' from pandemic-era strugglesKenny Polcari discusses the historical S&P 500 performance following midterm elections. He predicts the stock market will be higher in 12 months, continuing a trend seen in every midterm cycle since World War II. AMC Entertainment said on…
- Minnesota, Wisconsin see worst measles outbreak in decades, and more headlinesCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota…
- Gas station to blame for smell plaguing Brooklyn neighborhood for months, DEP saysCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Gas station to blame for smell plaguing Brooklyn neighborhood for months, DEP says First Alert Weather Day on Friday for heavy…
- Holiday Festivals Resume in Brazil as Pandemic Restrictions RelaxBrazil is readying itself for a return to festivals after an almost two-year ban on mass gatherings. For many, this is an acceptable price to pay for a return to pre-pandemic festivities. “The evolution of vaccination in São Paulo and…
- 10 infectious diseases that could be the next pandemicBecause of vaccination, many deadly diseases are now preventable. But we still lack vaccines for other potentially lethal diseases that could spread to become pandemics like COVID-19. Here is a list of 10 diseases to watch. Disease toll…
- WHO Study Links Early-Pandemic Infection to Higher Pregnancy RisksA multi-country WHO cohort study found that SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy was associated with significantly higher risks of adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes in the pre-Omicron era, with attenuated risks during the Omicron…
- Chaucer’s Plague TalesIn 18 months, the "Great Pestilence" of 1348-49 killed half of England's population, and by 1351 half the population of the world. Chaucer's plague tales reveal the conservative edges of an astonishingly innovative medieval poet. COVID-19…
Related markets
All outbreaks ›Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
7,311high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 7,311.
- Reaches 4,500>99%
- Reaches 4,750>99%
Already reached: ↑3.5k, ↑500, ↑1k, ↑2k, ↑3k, ↑4k
Measles cases in 2026?
7,620median
4,00011,000
Median 7,620Middle half 7,076 – 8,283
Next pandemic
20%Before 2030
- Before 203020%
- Before 202918%
- Before 202816%▲ 2
Pandemic in 2026?
2%chance▼ 1
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
7.23median
120
Median 7.23
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions