Party to win the US Presidency in 2028

Crypto.com Elections › President 2028 Closes Jan 31, 2029 · $2K today · $2K traded · prices read 3 min ago

Embed

The odds

67%Democratic
  • Democratic67%
  • Republican33%

How the odds have moved

Democratic: 64% on Oct 20, 67% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democratic 67% 67¢ 72¢ $1.39 1.5K
Republican 33% 32¢ 38¢ $2.63 497

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on ForecastEx

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Presidency

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  • Trump’s wounded presidency turns to two unresolved warsThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. After last week’s…
  • Trump must restore ‘smart populism’ — and rescue his presidencyNew York Post · 4 days agoTuesday’s election wasn’t a blue wave or even a blue tsunami: It was a blue apocalypse. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who leads the one notable Republican bright spot on the map, referred to the wipeout as “close to an extinction-level event”…
  • What Trump’s pick of Stephen Miller for chief of staff means for rest of his presidencyNew York Post · 3 days agoWASHINGTON — It’s Miller time — and the gloves are off! President Trump pulled out his bulldog Stephen Miller as he prepares for an epic fight with Democrats following Tuesday’s blue tsunami — announcing Miller as his new chief of staff in…
  • Voters say midterms are referendum on Trump's presidencyCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News Voters say midterms are referendum on Trump's presidency What are voters’ top concerns? Center Township Water Authority continues to investigate source of E. coli contamination Brashear High School raises over $1,000 for the KDKA…
  • [ED] Perils of livestreamed presidencyThe Korea Times · 4 days agoPresident Lee Jae Myung speaks at a livestreamed meeting with senior presidential secretaries, Oct. 5. Yonhap President Lee Jae Myung has acted on his words. He launched his own YouTube channel, President’s Y, with its first episode airing…
  • Spain and the Netherlands battle over ECB presidencyPOLITICO · 3 days agoPablo Hernández de Cos and Klaas Knot are in the hunt for the top job after Christine Lagarde’s exit. BRUSSELS — The Netherlands and Spain on Friday submitted candidates to succeed Christine Lagarde, who steps down as president of the…
  • Today in History: November 6, Abraham Lincoln wins presidencySports · 3 days agoToday is Friday, Nov. 6, the 310th day of 2026. There are 55 days left in the year. On Nov. 6, 1860, former Illinois congressman Abraham Lincoln of the Republican Party was elected president of the United States as he defeated John…
  • Japan's Tashima to run for FIFA presidencyNHK WORLD · 4 days agoJapan Football Association Honorary President Tashima Kohzo says he plans to run in the FIFA presidential election scheduled for March next year. Tashima, who is 68, announced his bid to become the next FIFA president at a news conference…
  • 2027: Kalu rejects four-year deal for Igbo PresidencyTribune Online · 3 days ago… backs Tinubu’s re-election Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives, Hon. Benjamin Kalu, has rejected the idea of a four-year power-sharing agreement for an Igbo presidency, insisting that the South-East deserves an eight-year…
  • Nandi-Ndaitwah places Dangote project under PresidencyThe Namibian · 4 days agoPresident Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah has placed the N$41 billion Dangote fuel infrastructure project under the direct supervision of the presidency to speed up Nandi-Ndaitwah places Dangote project under Presidency President Netumbo…
  • Spain presents Hernández de Cos for the presidency of the ECBAra in English · 4 days agoDiari ARA Spain has presented the candidacy of Pablo Hernández de Cos for the presidency of the European Central Bank On the day the deadline set by the organization expires, the Minister of Economy—and now also of Transport—Carlos…
  • Republicans are already jostling for a shot at the presidency in 2028The Observer · 4 days agoAutumn sale Get 60% offAutumn saleGet 60% off Friday 6 November 2026 The Republicans’ thumping defeat in this week’s midterms has ripped apart the Maga coalition and kickstarted the race for the GOP’s presidential nomination in 2028. So…

Related markets

All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff27%▲ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Gavin Newsom9%▲ 1
53 more
  • Pete Buttigieg6%
  • Kamala Harris5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Ro Khanna2%▼ 1
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • James Talarico2%▼ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%▼ 1
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Adam Hamilton<1%
  • Scott Colom<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff19%▲ 2
  • JD Vance18%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
55 more
  • Marco Rubio9%
  • Gavin Newsom8%
  • Ron DeSantis6%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Thomas Massie2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.<1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • James Fishback<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

33%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance33%
  • Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
  • Ron DeSantis15%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson4%
  • John McEntee4%
  • Ted Cruz3%
  • Thomas Massie3%
  • Glenn Youngkin2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Nikki Haley1%
  • Byron Donalds1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Joe Kent1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
  • Tom Cotton1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions