Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Jan 1, 2028 · $16.8K today · $71K traded · $31K at stake · prices read 5 min ago

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The odds

94%Pete Buttigieg
  • Pete Buttigieg94%▲ 1
  • Andy Beshear92%▲ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker89%▼ 1
  • Rahm Emanuel88%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro88%▲ 3
  • Ro Khanna85%▼ 6
  • Gavin Newsom82%▼ 3
  • Cory Booker78%▼ 2
  • Mark Kelly76%
  • Wes Moore72%▼ 1
  • Jon Ossoff69%
  • Kamala Harris64%▲ 3
26 more
  • Chris Van Hollen63%▼ 11
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez61%▲ 7
  • Mitch Landrieu60%
  • Raphael Warnock57%▼ 4
  • Ruben Gallego55%▲ 7
  • Elissa Slotkin47%▼ 7
  • Gretchen Whitmer40%▲ 3
  • Jared Polis32%▼ 3
  • Chris Murphy27%▼ 2
  • Dean Phillips24%▲ 2
  • Phil Murphy24%▼ 4
  • Mikie Sherrill22%
  • Shawn Fain22%▼ 2
  • Roy Cooper19%▲ 7
  • Amy Klobuchar15%▼ 2
  • Mark Cuban12%▼ 6
  • James Talarico12%▼ 1
  • Stephen A. Smith11%▼ 2
  • Hunter Biden10%▼ 7
  • Abigail Spanberger10%▼ 7
  • Jon Stewart8%▲ 1
  • John Fetterman8%▼ 4
  • Michelle Obama7%
  • Tim Walz4%
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • Barack Obama2%

How the odds have moved

Pete Buttigieg: 90% on Oct 20, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Pete Buttigieg 94% ▲ 1 93¢ 95¢ $1.05 13.8K
Andy Beshear 92% ▲ 1 91¢ 94¢ $1.07 9.2K
J.B. Pritzker 89% ▼ 1 87¢ 91¢ $1.10 22.0K
Rahm Emanuel 88% ▼ 1 86¢ 90¢ $1.11 35.2K
Josh Shapiro 88% ▲ 3 87¢ 88¢ $1.14 18.9K
Ro Khanna 85% ▼ 6 83¢ 86¢ $1.16 46.0K
Gavin Newsom 82% ▼ 3 80¢ 83¢ $1.20 94.9K
Cory Booker 78% ▼ 2 76¢ 79¢ $1.27 25.1K
Mark Kelly 76% 75¢ 76¢ $1.32 36.1K
Wes Moore 72% ▼ 1 71¢ 73¢ $1.37 80.3K
Jon Ossoff 69% 68¢ 69¢ $1.45 74.1K
Kamala Harris 64% ▲ 3 63¢ 65¢ $1.54 191.2K
Chris Van Hollen 63% ▼ 11 39¢ 65¢ $1.54 12.3K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 61% ▲ 7 60¢ 61¢ $1.64 191.7K
Mitch Landrieu 60% 59¢ 60¢ $1.67 1.8K
Raphael Warnock 57% ▼ 4 54¢ 60¢ $1.67 26.7K
Ruben Gallego 55% ▲ 7 53¢ 57¢ $1.75 43.2K
Elissa Slotkin 47% ▼ 7 46¢ 47¢ $2.13 30.2K
Gretchen Whitmer 40% ▲ 3 42¢ 59¢ $1.69 49.6K
Jared Polis 32% ▼ 3 30¢ 34¢ $2.94 11.1K
Chris Murphy 27% ▼ 2 24¢ 29¢ $3.45 7.1K
Dean Phillips 24% ▲ 2 22¢ 25¢ $4.00 6.2K
Phil Murphy 24% ▼ 4 20¢ 27¢ $3.70 3.3K
Mikie Sherrill 22% 21¢ 23¢ $4.35 1.9K
Shawn Fain 22% ▼ 2 19¢ 24¢ $4.17 2.2K
Roy Cooper 19% ▲ 7 17¢ 21¢ $4.76 9.3K
Amy Klobuchar 15% ▼ 2 10¢ 20¢ $5.00 1.8K
Mark Cuban 12% ▼ 6 10¢ 15¢ $6.67 22.9K
James Talarico 12% ▼ 1 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 3.9K
Stephen A. Smith 11% ▼ 2 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 38.9K
Hunter Biden 10% ▼ 7 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 43.8K
Abigail Spanberger 10% ▼ 7 6¢ 13¢ $7.69 21.4K
Jon Stewart 8% ▲ 1 7¢ 10¢ $10.20 18.7K
John Fetterman 8% ▼ 4 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 7.4K
Michelle Obama 7% 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 13.4K
Tim Walz 4% 2¢ 7¢ $14.49 40.4K
Hillary Clinton 4% 2¢ 5¢ $18.52 8.1K
Barack Obama 2% 2¢ 3¢ $34.48 2.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Pete Buttigieg, Andy Beshear, J.B. Pritzker

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions