The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Ron DeSantis
90%
89¢
90¢
$1.11
45.3K
Ted Cruz
87%
86¢
87¢
$1.15
30.5K
John McEntee
83%
▲ 6
81¢
85¢
$1.18
28.4K
J.D. Vance
73%
72¢
73¢
$1.37
78.2K
Rand Paul
66%
65¢
66¢
$1.52
17.0K
Marco Rubio
60%
▼ 2
59¢
61¢
$1.64
76.6K
Brian Kemp
60%
▲ 14
57¢
63¢
$1.59
5.2K
Thomas Massie
56%
▼ 3
55¢
57¢
$1.75
19.9K
Chris Christie
48%
▼ 3
45¢
51¢
$1.96
4.9K
Glenn Youngkin
44%
▲ 1
43¢
45¢
$2.22
11.8K
Tim Scott
36%
▲ 1
33¢
38¢
$2.63
2.8K
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
33%
31¢
35¢
$2.86
7.1K
Nikki Haley
27%
25¢
28¢
$3.57
14.3K
Gregory Bovino
27%
25¢
28¢
$3.57
13.2K
Doug Burgum
26%
▲ 1
22¢
30¢
$3.33
6.00
Tulsi Gabbard
24%
▲ 2
22¢
26¢
$3.85
11.2K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
24%
▼ 1
23¢
25¢
$4.00
12.1K
Marjorie Taylor Greene
24%
23¢
24¢
$4.17
40.6K
Donald J. Trump Jr.
22%
21¢
22¢
$4.55
57.1K
Tucker Carlson
22%
▲ 1
19¢
24¢
$4.17
68.3K
Steve Bannon
22%
20¢
23¢
$4.35
9.9K
Josh Hawley
21%
▲ 3
19¢
22¢
$4.55
24.7K
John Kennedy
20%
▼ 1
17¢
23¢
$4.35
917
Pete Hegseth
18%
▲ 2
17¢
19¢
$5.26
11.3K
Spencer Pratt
18%
▼ 1
17¢
18¢
$5.56
1.1K
Elise Stefanik
16%
14¢
17¢
$5.88
2.2K
Greg Abbott
14%
14¢
15¢
$6.67
7.1K
Katie Britt
13%
▲ 3
11¢
15¢
$6.67
1.0K
Larry Hogan
13%
10¢
16¢
$6.25
381
Vivek Ramaswamy
13%
▲ 1
10¢
15¢
$6.67
17.8K
Byron Donalds
12%
9¢
15¢
$6.67
1.7K
Donald J. Trump
11%
▼ 1
9¢
13¢
$7.69
21.4K
Jared Kushner
9%
▼ 6
8¢
9¢
$10.99
1.2K
Matt Gaetz
8%
5¢
11¢
$9.09
3.7K
Erika Kirk
8%
5¢
10¢
$10.20
7.1K
John Thune
8%
5¢
10¢
$10.00
1.3K
Jeff Bezos
8%
▼ 2
6¢
9¢
$11.11
5.9K
Elon Musk
5%
3¢
7¢
$14.93
5.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Sen Ted Cruz: Democrats are going to ‘overreach,’ drive an ‘extreme’ agendaFox News · 24 h agoSen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, discusses the 2026 midterm election results after Democrats flipped a Texas U.S. Senate seat and won the governor’s race on ‘Life, Liberty & Levin.’ Sen Ted Cruz: Democrats are going to ‘overreach,’ drive an…
Ted Cruz Says Democrats Are ‘Drunk on Their Own Power’ After Midterm WinsNewsweek · 3 days agoNov 06, 2026 at 09:19 PM EST Senator Ted Cruz said Democrats are "drunk on their own power" after their midterm victories, predicting the party will overreach despite what he described as a "generationally damaging" defeat for Republicans…
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis plans another run at White HouseThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Florida’s status as…
As MAGA Falters, Ron DeSantis Steps Out of the ShadowsNewsweek · 3 days agoNov 06, 2026 at 11:39 AM EST Florida’s outgoing governor Ron DeSantis has been fiercely criticizing Republicans since the GOP’s shellacking in the midterm elections, raising questions about whether the offensive is the opening gambit of…
Ted Cruz: Midterm was an 'ass-kicking' for RepublicansNBC News · 4 days agoNBC News Morning Rundown: Judge blocks Trump’s arch, Mississippi on cusp of historic Senate upset, and are we approaching a new era of Alzheimer’s prevention?
Ron DeSantis cannot prevail against the political tideVillages-News.com · 17 h agoIt is a false hope that Ron DeSantis can take on the task of wading through the turbulent waters and come out successful. The election has clearly changed the landscape for the next decade. Democrats swept across blue and red states alike…
WJ Straw Poll: Ron DeSantis Surges in First Survey Since MidtermsThe Western Journal · 9 h agoFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis surged into second place in The Western Journal’s latest GOP 2028 Presidential Straw Poll, gaining 11 points in a week as support for Vice President J.D. Vance plunged. DeSantis received 16.6 percent of the vote…
Gov. Ron DeSantis Warns of More GOP Senate Lossestwitchy.com · 29 h ago"Republicans could lose even more Senate seats in 2028 if the GOP doesn't get its act together," tweets Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R). Gov. Ron DeSantis Warns of More GOP Senate Losses "Republicans could lose even more Senate seats in 2028…
TED CRUZ PLEDGES ALLEGIANCE TO ISRAEL AND THE JEWS AT CHABAD-LUBAVITCH EVENTNational File · 21 h agoA Chabad performer sang that Cruz “stands for Israel and the Jews.” The senator answered with a vow to do “everything humanly possible” to crush anti-Semitism on the right. The clip opens with a performer singing, “He follows the facts and…
Ron DeSantis says U.S. went too far in Iran conflictThe Miami Times · 11 h agoWith 1,090 votes now separating him from U.S. Rep. María Elvira Salazar, Democrat Eliott Rodriguez is suing Miami-Dade Supervisor of Elections Alina Garcia to keep her from making ballot and recount decisions in Florida’s 27th…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions