When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy? (2028 President of the United States race)

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Oct 1, 2027 · $482 today · $4.5K traded · $2.2K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

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The odds

Jun 11, 2027even chance by
  • Before Jan 1, 20274%▲ 1
  • Before Apr 1, 202728%▲ 11
  • Before Jul 1, 202756%▲ 6
  • Before Oct 1, 202766%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 13% on Oct 20, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027 4% ▲ 1 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 7.3K
Before Apr 1, 2027 28% ▲ 11 24¢ 32¢ $3.13 3.9K
Before Jul 1, 2027 56% ▲ 6 52¢ 61¢ $1.64 2.3K
Before Oct 1, 2027 66% ▲ 1 65¢ 67¢ $1.49 2.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: United States

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  • United StatesBBC · 4 days agoAfter the Republicans lost control of Congress, what do the US midterms mean for the UK? Columnist and commentator Tim Stanley, psychologist and ex-NBA star John Amaechi and Trades Union Congress’ Paul Nowak also debate if the results mean…
  • Former Blue Jay Wins Election as Part of United States MidtermsToronto Blue Jays On SI · 4 days agoWhile major change was taking place across the country on Tuesday as part of the US midterm elections, a former Toronto Blue Jays pitcher ran successfully in what proved to be one of the day's closest races. Matt Shoemaker, who started 11…
  • Iran’s victory in the United StatesMehr News Agency · 5 days agoMehr News Agency Iran’s victory in the United States TEHRAN, Nov. 05 (MNA) – In the 2026 U.S. midterm elections, held on Tuesday, November 3, the Republican Party suffered a heavy defeat, and the Democrats gained control of Congress—both…
  • The New United States: Make America Affordable AgainEURweb | Black News · 4 days agoAnd on November 3, 2026, America reminded the world that we can still make history! Make America affordable again! Consider what happened in one extraordinary election. America did not become a good nation overnight. But America reminded…
  • Trump Proclaims Anti-Communism Week in the United StatesCubanos por el Mundo · 4 days agoDonald Trump proclaimed Nov. 1-7 as Anti-Communism Week in the United States, warning of the spread of socialist and communist ideologies at home and honoring the victims of communist regimes. U.S. President Donald Trump has proclaimed…
  • Civil Society Call for Scrutiny of United States’ Rights RecordHuman Rights Watch · 3 days agoWill the US dodge international rights review again? The United States is scheduled to appear in Geneva on November 10 for its Universal Periodic Review, the United Nations’ peer review process of every member state’s rights record. But…
  • The United States and Egypt Sign First Strategic Objective Agreement@Africa_com · 4 days agoDr. Samar Al-Ahdal, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs for International Cooperation, said: ““I am confident that under this agreement, our relations will continue to develop and prosper. I am looking forward to continuing our joint…
  • Reimagining how the United States advances development in the 21st century: At home and overseasBrookings · 3 days agoBrookings Reimagining how the United States advances development in the 21st century: At home and overseas - Development happens everywhere, no matter the income level of a country. The United States’ ability to be a credible champion of…
  • The United States sent an aircraft carrier group to the Middle EastEADaily · 4 days agoThe American carrier strike group led by the nuclear aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt will arrive in the area of responsibility of the Central Command The US Armed Forces (CENTCOM) in the Middle East no earlier than mid-November…
  • Why did Iran send a nuclear proposal to the United States despite the threats?The Business Standard · 4 days agoDigital payment ecology: a practitioner’s perspective The midterm mirror: What US’ democratic resilience teaches others A taste of the Middle East at Al Sham Strengthening Bangladesh’s climate diplomacy: From COP31 preparedness to national…
  • The United States Department of the Treasury is seen in Washington, D.C.The Lufkin Daily News · 4 days agoThe Lufkin Daily News The United States Department of the Treasury is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., August 30, 2020. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly - Two Lufkinites among those arrested in connection with 2022 Lakes Area Pawn Shop burglary…
  • Tucker Carlson says Iran conflict has bankrupted United StatesTASS · 5 days agoAccording to the journalist, because of the war with Iran and involvement in other conflicts in the Middle East, the US was forced to "borrow trillions of dollars" - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section…

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Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff27%▲ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Gavin Newsom9%▲ 1
53 more
  • Pete Buttigieg6%
  • Kamala Harris5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Ro Khanna2%▼ 1
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • James Talarico2%▼ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%▼ 1
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Adam Hamilton<1%
  • Scott Colom<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff19%▲ 2
  • JD Vance18%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
55 more
  • Marco Rubio9%
  • Gavin Newsom8%
  • Ron DeSantis6%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Thomas Massie2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.<1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • James Fishback<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

33%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance33%
  • Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
  • Ron DeSantis15%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson4%
  • John McEntee4%
  • Ted Cruz3%
  • Thomas Massie3%
  • Glenn Youngkin2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Nikki Haley1%
  • Byron Donalds1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Joe Kent1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
  • Tom Cotton1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions