Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
No one
45%
41¢
49¢
$2.04
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
28%
24¢
32¢
$3.13
419
Rashida Tlaib
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
Ro Khanna
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
Shawn Fain
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
Bernie Sanders
3%
6¢
$16.67
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Abdul El-Sayed’s Win Could Launch Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Into the 2028 RaceThe Washington Sun · 5 days agoNovember 5, 2026 05:13 a.m. DETROIT — Democrat Abdul El-Sayed won Michigan’s Senate race with an unapologetic, progressive approach to politics — the type many Democrats were skeptical could win in a battleground state. He shares that…
Palestinian-American Rashida Tlaib wins re-election in MichiganThe New Arab · 6 days agoAli Cherri seeks justice for parents killed in Israeli strike Slavery reparations 'not feasible' for UK: foreign minister How a record Palestinian vote has unsettled Israeli politics US midterms: What you need to know as voters head to the…
Rashida Tlaib seeks another term in Michigan's 12th District against James HooperCBS News · 7 days agoNovember 3, 2026 / 7:45 AM EST / CBS Detroit Democrat Rashida Tlaib is seeking another term in Michigan's 12th Congressional District, facing another challenge from Republican James Hooper. Three third-party candidates are also running…
Democratic Congresswomen Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib Re-elected to Another Termynetglobal · 6 days agoDemocratic Congresswomen Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib, among the most prominent critics of Israel in the U.S., have been re-elected to another term. Omar won in Minnesota about three weeks after federal agents raided her home as part of an…
Ilhan Omar Wins Minnesota Election, Rashida Tlaib Retains SeatDaily Beirut · 6 days agoUS voters re-elected Democratic Representatives Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib to new terms in the House following midterm election results. US voters returned Democratic Representatives Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib to the House of…
Gavin Newsom’s sees dramatic shift in presidential odds after midterm electionCalifornia Post · 2 days agoCalifornia Gov. Gavin Newsom‘s hopes of making it to the White House may be taking a hit after the midterm elections, with his odds of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination plunging to an all-time low on prediction markets…
Rashida Tlaib seeking re-election to Michigan's 12th Congressional DistrictCBS News · 7 days agoMarch 16, 2026 / 2:04 PM EDT / CBS Detroit Tlaib's campaign submitted 1,975 signatures and nominating petitions to election officials on Thursday, her announcement said. The 2026 Democratic primary election is scheduled for Aug. 4. The…
2 Muslim congresswomen Rashida Tlaib, Ilhan Omar win fifth terms in US HouseThe Business Standard · 6 days agoWednesday November 04, 2026 Two Muslim Democratic congresswomen, Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar, have won fifth terms in the US House of Representatives in the 3 November midterm elections. Tlaib defeated Republican challenger James D Hooper…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions