2028 Democratic Presidential ticket

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $5 today · $5K traded · $3.8K at stake · prices read 30 min ago

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The odds

13%Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%▲ 1
Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%▼ 1
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear3%▲ 1
Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear3%
Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff3%
Jon Ossoff and Gretchen Whitmer3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg3%
Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly3%
Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg3%
Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer2%
Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear2%

14 more

Gavin Newsom and Wes Moore2%
Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg2%
Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro2%
Gavin Newsom and James Talarico2%
Gavin Newsom and Elissa Slotkin2%
Gavin Newsom and Ruben Gallego1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ruben Gallego1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mark Kelly1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Wes Moore1%
Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez1%
Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer1%
Pete Buttigieg and Gretchen Whitmer1%
Josh Shapiro and Gretchen Whitmer1%

How the odds have moved

Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 7% on Oct 20, 13% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	13%	▲ 1	11¢	14¢	$7.14	16.5K
Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	8%	▼ 1	7¢	8¢	$11.90	23.4K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear	3%	▲ 1	1¢	5¢	$18.87	2.6K
Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear	3%		2¢	4¢	$25.00	7.4K
Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.41	3.8K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.83	8.3K
Jon Ossoff and Gretchen Whitmer	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.83	4.2K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.83	1.6K
Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly	3%		1¢	4¢	$24.39	540
Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg	3%		1¢	4¢	$25.00	3.3K
Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer	2%		1¢	3¢	$34.48	374
Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear	2%		1¢	3¢	$34.48	413
Gavin Newsom and Wes Moore	2%		1¢	3¢	$34.48	177
Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg	2%		1¢	3¢	$35.71	354
Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro	2%		1¢	2¢	$47.62	828
Gavin Newsom and James Talarico	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	255
Gavin Newsom and Elissa Slotkin	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	21.00
Gavin Newsom and Ruben Gallego	1%		0¢	2¢	$50.00	1.1K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ruben Gallego	1%		0¢	2¢	$50.00	5.0K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mark Kelly	1%		0¢	2¢	$50.00	1.2K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Wes Moore	1%		0¢	2¢	$50.00	501
Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	1%		0¢	2¢	$50.00	3.0K
Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer	1%		0¢	2¢	$66.67
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00
Pete Buttigieg and Gretchen Whitmer	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	651
Josh Shapiro and Gretchen Whitmer	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	61.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Democratic Presidential

Search ›

Jon Ossoff emerges as potential Democratic presidential contender after midterm victoryThe Business Standard · 5 days agoFriday November 06, 2026 Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff has emerged as a potential contender for the 2028 US presidential election following a decisive re-election victory in Georgia's 2026 midterm elections. Following the victory, Ossoff's…
2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee Odds Shift After Midterms: See the Top 10 Candidates RankedIMDb · 5 days agoIMDb
Gavin Newsom’s sees dramatic shift in presidential odds after midterm electionCalifornia Post · 2 days agoCalifornia Gov. Gavin Newsom‘s hopes of making it to the White House may be taking a hit after the midterm elections, with his odds of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination plunging to an all-time low on prediction markets…
Kamala Harris urges Democrats to stop writing off deep-red statesThe Washington Post · 45 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Kamala Harris made a…
What did Julian Assange do? WikiLeaks' most significant document dumpsCBS News · 2 days agoUpdated on: June 26, 2024 / 6:44 AM EDT / CBS News Assange had been imprisoned in the U.K. since 2019 and, before that, had been holed up in the Ecuadorian Embassy in London for seven years, where he sought but failed to gain political…
Trump Shares Posts Questioning Midterm Election ResultsNewsweek · 2 days agoNov 07, 2026 at 01:28 PM EST President Donald Trump shared social media posts Saturday questioning the scale of Democrats’ midterm election gains, days after saying he was “absolutely willing” to accept the results of an election that cost…
Midterm wave sets a course for "Medicare for All" fightCBS News · 4 days agoNovember 6, 2026 / 5:00 AM EST / KFF Health News LANSING, Mich. — Fifteen years working as an emergency room nurse has convinced Kim Bogan that the only way to fix the American healthcare system is to tear it down and start over. Her…
Newly elected Democrats could become 2028 presidential power brokersNBC News · 5 days agoFive of six states with early Democratic presidential primaries — South Carolina, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Michigan — elected new Democrats statewide Tuesday. The 2026 midterm elections are not quite over, but the 2028…
GOP Rep. Mike Lawler defeated in New York battleground districtCBS News · 4 days agoUpdated on: November 5, 2026 / 6:19 PM EST / CBS News Washington — Democrat Cait Conley defeated two-term Republican Rep. Mike Lawler, winning a highly competitive seat in New York's Hudson Valley region, CBS News projected. Lawler's loss…
Democratic socialist Nithya Raman will defeat Karen Bass in LA mayor’s race, CNN projectsCNN · 4 days agoDemocratic socialist Nithya Raman will defeat incumbent Karen Bass in the Los Angeles mayor’s race, CNN’s Decision Desk projects. Raman, a city councilmember, overtook Republican Spencer Pratt in June’s nonpartisan primary to set up what…
Sizing up the blue wave: From the Politics DeskNBC News · 4 days agoWelcome to From the Politics Desk, a daily newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail. In today’s edition, Scott Bland takes stock of the…
NY’s top 5 most expensive House races include a whopping $308M in total spendingNew York Post · 4 days agoAn eye-watering $308 million was pumped into New York State congressional races during the 2026 midterm campaign – including some $64 million spent in the Empire State’s most closely watched battleground. The fight for the suburban 17th…

Related markets

All president 2028 ›

Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff27%▲ 2
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Gavin Newsom9%▲ 1

54 more

Pete Buttigieg6%
Kamala Harris5%
Josh Shapiro5%
Andy Beshear4%
Raphael Warnock4%
Ro Khanna2%▼ 1
Wes Moore2%
Mark Kelly2%
James Talarico2%▼ 1
J.B. Pritzker2%
Abdul El-Sayed1%▼ 1
Rahm Emanuel1%
Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
Gretchen Whitmer1%
Cory Booker1%
Roy Cooper1%
Shawn Fain1%
Michelle Obama<1%
Ruben Gallego<1%
Jon Stewart<1%
Hillary Clinton<1%
Bernie Sanders<1%
Chris Murphy<1%
Chris Van Hollen<1%
Stephen A. Smith<1%
Mark Cuban<1%
Gina Raimondo<1%
Zohran Mamdani<1%
Jared Polis<1%
Barack Obama<1%
Phil Murphy<1%
Hunter Biden<1%
Jasmine Crockett<1%
Abigail Spanberger<1%
Hakeem Jeffries<1%
Elissa Slotkin<1%
Josh Stein<1%
Mitch Landrieu<1%
Tim Walz<1%
MrBeast<1%
Oprah Winfrey<1%
John Fetterman<1%
Liz Cheney<1%
LeBron James<1%
George Clooney<1%
Andrew Yang<1%
Beto O’Rourke<1%
Kim Kardashian<1%
Graham Platner<1%
Adam Schiff<1%
Alex Padilla<1%
Adam Hamilton<1%
Scott Colom<1%

Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff19%▲ 2
JD Vance18%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%

55 more

Marco Rubio9%
Gavin Newsom8%
Ron DeSantis6%▼ 1
Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
Pete Buttigieg3%
Josh Shapiro3%
Andy Beshear2%
Thomas Massie2%
Tucker Carlson2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
Donald Trump1%
Raphael Warnock1%
Wes Moore1%
James Talarico1%
Mark Kelly1%
Ro Khanna1%
Abdul El-Sayed1%
JB Pritzker1%
Ivanka Trump1%
Ted Cruz1%
Glenn Youngkin<1%
Donald Trump Jr.<1%
Rahm Emanuel<1%
Gretchen Whitmer<1%
Nikki Haley<1%
Elon Musk<1%
Michelle Obama<1%
Jamie Dimon<1%
Tom Cotton<1%
Cory Booker<1%
Tulsi Gabbard<1%
Zohran Mamdani<1%
Elissa Slotkin<1%
Stephen Smith<1%
Tim Walz<1%
Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
Greg Abbott<1%
LeBron James<1%
Kim Kardashian<1%
Eric Trump<1%
Pete Hegseth<1%
Jalen Brunson<1%
Abigail Spanberger<1%
Hakeem Jeffries<1%
Adam Schiff<1%
Josh Stein<1%
Alex Padilla<1%
Candace Owens<1%
Tim Scott<1%
Mike Johnson<1%
Doug Burgum<1%
John N. Kennedy<1%
Rick Scott<1%
James Fishback<1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%

Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

33%J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance33%
Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
Ron DeSantis15%

40 more

Tucker Carlson4%
John McEntee4%
Ted Cruz3%
Thomas Massie3%
Glenn Youngkin2%
Brian Kemp2%
Donald Trump Jr.2%
Nikki Haley1%
Byron Donalds1%
Donald Trump1%
Ivanka Trump1%
Josh Hawley1%
Rand Paul1%
Joe Kent1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
Tom Cotton1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
Tim Scott<1%
Rick Scott<1%
Elon Musk<1%
Katie Britt<1%
Candace Owens<1%
John N. Kennedy<1%
Pete Hegseth<1%
Tulsi Gabbard<1%
Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
Greg Abbott<1%
Elise Stefanik<1%
Kristi Noem<1%
Mike Pence<1%
Steve Bannon<1%
Kim Kardashian<1%
Eric Trump<1%
Doug Burgum<1%
Matt Gaetz<1%
John Thune<1%
Tom Brady<1%
Erika Kirk<1%
Mike Johnson<1%

Elections › President 2028

Blue wave in 2026?

>99%chance▲ 8

Elections › President 2028

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

44.0median

39.548.5

Median 44.0Middle half 43.8 – 44.3

Elections › President 2028

AP calls the House by...?

>99%November 4, 11:59 PM

November 4, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 22
November 5, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 18
November 6, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 16

3 more

November 15, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 6
November 30, 11:59 PM>99%▲ 2
November 3, 11:59 PM<1%▼ 40

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onDemocratic Party

Trading closesNov 7, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$5K (85,634 contracts)

Today$5

This week$1.8K

At stake$3.8K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Gretchen Whitmer in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions