Will Thomas Massie announce a presidential run? (2028 President of the United States race)

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Oct 1, 2027 · $25 traded · $25 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

Jul 17, 2027even chance by
  • Before Mar 1, 202720%▲ 1
  • Before Apr 1, 202727%▲ 1
  • Before May 1, 202735%▲ 1
  • Before Jun 1, 202742%▲ 1
  • Before Jul 1, 202748%▲ 1
  • Before Oct 1, 202763%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Apr 1, 2027: 27% on Nov 7, 27% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Mar 1, 2027 20% ▲ 1 16¢ 24¢ $4.17 125
Before Apr 1, 2027 27% ▲ 1 22¢ 31¢ $3.23
Before May 1, 2027 35% ▲ 1 30¢ 39¢ $2.56
Before Jun 1, 2027 42% ▲ 1 37¢ 46¢ $2.17
Before Jul 1, 2027 48% ▲ 1 43¢ 52¢ $1.92
Before Oct 1, 2027 63% ▲ 1 58¢ 67¢ $1.49

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Thomas Massie

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  • Jon Ossoff27%▲ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
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  • Kamala Harris5%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
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  • Ro Khanna2%▼ 1
  • Wes Moore2%
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  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
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  • Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Shawn Fain<1%
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  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
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  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
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  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
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  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
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Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%Jon Ossoff
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  • Gavin Newsom8%
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  • Tim Walz<1%
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  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
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  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions