North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
13%Smith, 1+ pts
-19
Install
Nebraska Senate margin of victory (2026)
The odds
7.16median
-124
Median 7.16Middle half 6.23 – 8.10
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.92 on Oct 20, 7.16 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricketts, 1+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | 19.7K | |||
| Ricketts, 3+ pts | 99% | ▲ 1 | 99¢ | 43.4K | ||
| Ricketts, 6+ pts | 81% | ▲ 31 | 66¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 34.1K |
| Ricketts, 9+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 30.0K | ||
| Ricketts, 12+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | 5.9K | |
| Ricketts, 15+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | 2.9K | |
| Ricketts, 18+ pts | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | 3.8K | |
| Ricketts, 21+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $55.56 | 22.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nebraska Senate
Search ›- Sen Pete Ricketts slams 'false promise' of socialism after Nebraska Senate winFox News Sen Pete Ricketts slams 'false promise' of socialism after Nebraska Senate win Sen. Pete Ricketts discusses his victory over Dan Osborn in Nebraska's U.S. Senate race on 'America Reports.' Sen. Pete Ricketts, R-Neb., discusses his…
- Pete Ricketts wins Nebraska Senate race, making Dan Osborn two-time loserWASHINGTON — Sen. Pete Ricketts (R-Neb.) won a full six-year term Tuesday following a hotly contested campaign against nominally independent candidate Dan Osborn in the reliably GOP state. Follow for live updates on the 2026 Midterm…
- GOP Sen. Pete Ricketts fends off independent Dan Osborn in Nebraska Senate raceGOP Sen. Pete Ricketts has defeated independent Dan Osborn in Nebraska, NBC News projects. Osborn, a pipe fitter, was one of multiple independent Senate candidates running this year in traditionally Republican states. Osborn had the added…
- Pete Ricketts claims Nebraska Senate victory as Dan Osborn concedesRepublican incumbent Pete Ricketts claimed victory in Nebraska’s Senate race on Wednesday after independent candidate Dan Osborn officially conceded, trailing by six points according to the Secretary of State’s office. "We showed them that…
- Nebraska Senate race Ricketts v. OsbornWOWT Nebraska Senate race Ricketts v. Osborn 10/11 News: Election Coverage: Lancaster County Sheriff - 6 p.m.
- Republican Pete Ricketts wins Nebraska Senate raceRicketts' victory maintains the GOP's hold on both of Nebraska's U.S. Senate seats, which Republicans have controlled since 2012. RELATED STORY | 2026 midterm election results: Key races for Senate, House and governor A former Nebraska…
- Nebraska Senate seat stays red—red like bloodIndependent Dan Osborn came up short in Nebraska for a second time, two years after he nearly knocked out Republican Sen. Deb Fischer. That’s in line with the margin by which Osborn lost in 2024, meaning that he didn’t improve on his…
- Pete Ricketts Crushes Democrats' Hopes for Nebraska Senate Upset, Sends Dan Osborn PackingSome good news for the GOP: Republican Pete Ricketts has won Nebraska's U.S. Senate race, defeating his "independent" challenger Dan Osborn. With more than 95 percent of the vote counted, Ricketts received 50.38 percent of the vote to…
- Sen. Pete Ricketts claims victory in Nebraska Senate race over Dan OsbornBELLEVUE, Neb. — U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts claimed victory early Wednesday morning in Nebraska’s Senate race against independent candidate Dan Osborn. The AP called the race Wednesday for Ricketts. Ricketts addressed supporters in Bellevue…
- Nebraska Senate Race Results: Independent Dan Osborn vs Pete Ricketts and $13.5 Million in Crypto MoneyNebraska has no Democrat on the Senate ballot: independent Dan Osborn takes on Senator Pete Ricketts. Where the count stands, how far the counties moved since 2024 and why a crypto committee spent more than $13 million against Osborn…
- Trump-endorsed Sen. Pete Ricketts wins Nebraska Senate raceOAN Staff Brooke Mallory6:43 AM – Wednesday, November 4, 2026 Senator John Peter “Pete” Ricketts has won reelection to serve his first full term in the upper chamber of Congress representing the Cornhusker State. All other candidates fell…
- US midterm elections: Democrats flip Nevada governor’s mansion, hold historic win in Wisconsin as GOP secures Nebraska Senate seatKey projection calls have determined major victories in high-stakes state and federal contests across the country. According to projections by ABC News, Democrat David Crowley will win the Wisconsin gubernatorial race. His historic victory…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions