Vermont Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $9.6K traded · $6.1K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

6.51median
-147
Median 6.51Middle half 5.75 – 7.27

How the odds have moved

Median: 6 on Oct 19, 6.51 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Republicans, 2+ pts 100% 99¢ 3.3K
Republicans, 5+ pts 100% 99¢ 5.3K
Republicans, 8+ pts 1% 0¢ 2¢ $66.67 1.5K
Republicans, 11+ pts 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 4.9K
Republicans, 14+ pts 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 25.7K
Republicans, 17+ pts 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 3.8K
Republicans, 20+ pts 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 2.9K
Republicans, 23+ pts 1% 2¢ $52.63 30.6K
Republicans, 26+ pts 1% 2¢ $52.63 20.9K
Republicans, 29+ pts 1% 2¢ $52.63 5.3K
Republicans, 32+ pts 1% 14¢ $7.14 1.2K
Republicans, 35+ pts 1% 5¢ $21.28 1.0K
Republicans, 38+ pts 1% 2¢ $52.63 2.0K
Republicans, 41+ pts 1% 2¢ $52.63 1.4K
Republicans, 44+ pts 1% 2¢ $52.63 1.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Vermont Governor

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  • 2026 Vermont Governor election resultsBostonGlobe.com · 5 days agoResults for the 2026 Vermont Governor general election. Find Vermont and national elections results at BostonGlobe.com. 2026 Vermont Governor election results
  • Vermont Governor Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoThe Vermont Governor race has shifted 37.43 points toward Republicans compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the township-by-township breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers is lagging…
  • Election 2026: Vermont Governor Candidate Heat Maps Data Visualization@wcax · 6 days agoWCAX BURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - “Heat maps” illustrate the relationship between a specific candidate’s vote totals and the total number of votes cast/tabulated at the moment. Heat map data is calculated based on information provided by the…
  • Vermont Governor Scott reelected to serve sixth termWAMC · 6 days agoVermont Republican Gov. Phil Scott was reelected to a sixth 2-year term Tuesday, defeating his Democratic challenger Amanda Janoo. At about 10:45 p.m., and with 85% of towns reporting, Janoo conceded the race and congratulated Scott at a…
  • Janoo concedes; Vermont Governor Phil Scott wins record 6th termYahoo News · 6 days agoVERMONT (ABC22/FOX44) - Phil Scott survived a historic midterm election for Democrats and a strong challenge from economist Amanda Janoo to win a record sixth term as Vermont Governor. The Republican Governor's Association congratulated…
  • Phil Scott wins historic 6th term as Vermont governorVermont Public · 6 days agoVermont voters handed Republican Gov. Phil Scott an unprecedented sixth consecutive term in office Tuesday, and they severely limited his executive authority by restoring Democratic supermajorities in both chambers of the Legislature…
  • After his toughest race in a decade, Vermont Governor Phil Scott prevailsBostonGlobe.com · 6 days agoMONTPELIER — Governor Phil Scott survived his toughest challenge in a decade, winning a fifth two-year term and setting him up to become Vermont’s longest-serving governor since it joined the Union. Scott, a moderate Republican, defeated…
  • New poll shows Janoo ahead of Scott in Vermont governor's race@wcax · 7 days agoWCAX New poll shows Janoo ahead of Scott in Vermont governor's race UVM women’s opens regular season with a win New York reports first measles death in 30 years Proctor High School teacher named 2027 Vermont Teacher of the Year Made in…
  • Amid GOP meltdown, New England moderation survived | The ScrumBostonGlobe.com · 33 h agoWhen former Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker left office roughly four years ago, some declared his exit as the death of the moderate New England Republican governor. The party, increasingly defined by President Trump’s brand of…
  • Doris Matsui defends lead over Mai Vang in Sacramento-area race for CongressAbridged – PBS KVIE · 3 days agoElections officials dropped the latest results in the closely-watched race on Friday. Published on November 6, 2026 Doris Matsui and Mai Vang speak at their respective election night parties on Nov. 3, 2026, in Sacramento, California. U.S…
  • Questions linger over UNH polling after Scott’s Vermont election win@wcax · 3 days agoMONTPELIER, Vt. (WCAX) - Gov. Phil Scott’s victory over Amanda Janoo in Tuesday’s election is raising questions about pre-election polling that showed him losing the Vermont governor’s race. A September poll predicted Janoo winning by six…
  • Despite $928 Million Spent, Lake Champlain Cleanup Is Falling Behind@wcax · 5 days agoAfter 10 years and nearly a billion dollars spent on water quality projects for Lake Champlain, Vermont’s cleanup effort is faltering. BURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - After 10 years and nearly a billion dollars spent on water quality projects for…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions