Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
20%
19¢
21¢
$4.76
59.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Tim Pool credits Nick Fuentes for midterm shift toward Democrats: He “speaks to young men”Media Matters for America · 5 days agoPool: “That D shift, a lot of that probably just straight up Nick Fuentes. Not even a joke.” Published 11/04/26 12:23 PM EST From the November 4, 2026, edition of Timcast, uploaded to YouTube Video & Audio 11/04/26 1:28 PM EST Video &…
The midterms proved once and for all that X is not real lifeThe Verge · 4 days agoThe Verge X, we can now declare once and for all, is not real life Republicans not only lost historically red states like Texas, Kansas, and South Carolina, but barely managed to win Florida The Senate race in Mississippi, of all places…
Courting Slur-Users Isn’t A Winning Strategy When They Have Slurs For YouDefector · 4 days ago3:56 PM EST on November 4, 2026 Older Republicans who may doubt the rising prevalence of the blood-and-soil view should think again. My social media feeds are littered with hundreds of slurs, most from accounts that I don’t recognize…
Michigan’s Common-Sense Rebuke of Middle East WarmongersThe American Conservative · 4 days agoAbdul El-Sayed is now poised to greatly erode the taboo around Israel in Washington. Michigan’s Common-Sense Rebuke of Middle East Warmongers Abdul El-Sayed is now poised to greatly erode the taboo around Israel in Washington. I spent the…
Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff cruises to re-election in GeorgiaNBC News · 6 days agoBREAKING: Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff wins a second term in Georgia, NBC News projects Ossoff’s win is a major hold for Democrats in one of the most closely divided battleground states in the country — and one that both sides saw as…
Republicans Learn X Is the Echo Chamber404 Media · 4 days agoThere's a BlazeTV YouTube video whose thumbnail shows the presenter with his arms around Anakin Skywalker and a gender-flipped Draco Malfoy called Malfoid. “Total Chud Victory?” It says. The video's title: “Young Right is Reclaiming…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions