Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Justin Amash
31%
▲ 4
24¢
61¢
$1.64
2.0K
Chase Oliver
14%
▼ 2
1¢
53¢
$1.89
682
Jo Jorgensen
6%
2¢
10¢
$10.00
790
Spike Cohen
4%
1¢
8¢
$12.99
496
Michael Rectenwald
3%
1¢
4¢
$23.26
36.00
Dave Smith
3%
▼ 10
1¢
51¢
$1.96
1.7K
Jacob Hornberger
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
9.00
Lars Mapstead
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
9.00
Joshua Smith
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
9.00
Gary Johnson
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
9.00
Larry Sharpe
2%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
40.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Libertarian Presidential, Justin Amash, Chase Oliver
North Carolina Libertarian Candidate in Custody After Armed Standoffpjmedia.com · 14 days agoJonathan D. Miller was running for the North Carolina state Senate until he ran into the woods on Monday with a revolver and his phone, posting updates to X like this one: "I've got six shots and the high ground. I hope they don't find me…
Google’s AI Chatbot Finally Gets its Facts Straight About Presidential ElectionsMediaite · 11 days agoGoogle’s AI chatbot is finally showing a correct answer to a straightforward question: Who won the 2020 presidential election? The chatbot sparked social media speculation Wednesday when BlueSky users found it wasn’t simply responding with…
Arizona Libertarian Party Status is in Peril Due to Declining Voter Registrationballot-access.org · 12 days agoThe Arizona Secretary of State has posted new registration data. It shows that Libertarian registration is down to 30,150 members, which is only .69% of the state total. If it declines below ... The Arizona Secretary of State has posted…
‘I’m probably done for’: Candidate live-posts what he calls police pursuitRaw Story · 14 days agoA Libertarian candidate for state Senate in North Carolina has been posting on X about what he describes as a police pursuit on Monday, hours after he wrote that he planned to end his life. “I have decided I no longer wish to live,”…
Trump audio during North Carolina rally sparks ‘cult’ accusationsindy100 · 19 days agoThe use of audio and music at US president Donald Trump’s rallies has long been a source of controversy, to the extent that many high-profile musicians have spoken out about their songs being used at his events to push his political…
2026 election: Midterm longshots play political long gameFOX 7 Austin · 19 days agoVoter discontent over the ballot choices hasn't slowed early voter turn out. Several third-party candidates are still hoping to make a statement that goes beyond being a spoiler. FOX 7 Austin's Rudy Koski spoke with Libertarian Pat Dixon…
3 candidates vie for Springfield Sen. Lincoln Hough's District 30 seatKansas City Star · 20 days agoAfter starting his career in the Missouri Legislature and spending 14 years in the halls of the Capitol, Sen. Lincoln Hough is stepping away. Hough, who represented Springfield's state Senate District 30 for the full term limit of eight…
Arkansas Gubernatorial Poll Shows Libertarian at 11%ballot-access.org · 23 days agoYou mean communist Chase Oliver didn’t get 3%? The only minor party presidential candidate who got 3% in Arkansas in the last 40 years was Ross Perot in 1996. TYRANT TRUMP – SELF PARDON ETC — PARDON POWER ONLY IN LEGIS BODIES AND COURTS…
Trump just said he wears ‘very little’ makeup - yes, reallyindy100 · 24 days agoUS president Donald Trump has long been ridiculed over his appearance, to the extent that he has often been described as “orange” due to his application of makeup. So, when the Republican claimed Georgia senator Jon Ossoff supposedly…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions